Our NFL expert's best player prop bet for Seattle Seahawks vs Detroit Lions on Monday Night Football: David Montgomery does it all

Lions receiver Jameson Williams celebrates with running back David Montgomery (5) after Montgomery's touchdown against the Panthers during the first half Sunday, Oct. 8, 2023, at Ford Field.
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Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley

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The Lions (-3.5) will be rocking all black uniforms on Monday night in the late game against the Seattle Seahawks as we get another doubleheader to end our week of football. Of the 2 games on MNF, this one is easily the more digestible. Both teams have playmakers at the skill positions and playoff hopes as the Seahawks got off to a hot start this season, sitting at 3-0. Detroit was 1B to the 49ers in the NFC and is currently sitting at 2-1; that could easily be 1-2 with an OT win over the Rams. Jared Goff has looked shaky out of the gate with 4 interceptions in the first 3 games, but luckily he gets a banged-up Seattle defense that will be missing 4 starters (Leonard Williams, Byron Murphy, Boye Mafe and Uchenna Nwosu). However, Kenneth Walker is slated to return at RB for the Seahawks after missing the last 2 weeks with an oblique injury. Let’s get into our best Seahawks vs Lions player prop bet for MNF, while you can find out our NFL picks on the side and total for each of tonight’s matchups.

Read our full Seattle Seahawks vs Detroit Lions predictions

David Montgomery (DET) Over 73.5 rush + receiving yards (-115)

Line available at Bet365 available at time of publishing. Playable to 76.5.

As mentioned in the opening, Seattle’s front 7 is missing key pieces on the defensive front and Montgomery was leaned on in Week 3 to churn out a win against the Buccaneers. He saw his highest snap percentage (51%), most touches (26) and found the end zone for a 3rd week in a row. The Lions are -3.5 favorites at home, so presumably playing with a lead would put Montgomery in the driver’s seat to chew up the clock. If I use his 4.5 y/c and his 6.7 y/r this season, I can safely project him at 14 carries for 63 yards and 2.5 receptions for 16.7 yards, smashing this over with room to spare. If you remember in Week 1 overtime, Montgomery was the guy Dan Campbell leaned on to close out the win on Sunday Night Football.

With Lions center Frank Ragnow expected to be out on Monday night, I see Montgomery as being leaned on more heavily in pass protection to keep Goff from becoming turnover heavy with a pass rush up the middle. This number is very beatable and Montgomery’s role in the passing game is being overlooked, with at least 3 receptions in each of the last 2 weeks. 1u.

Get our Seahawks vs Lions touchdown scorer best bets at -105 and +225 odds

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