Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley
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A Thanksgiving tradition kicks off the Thursday slate with the Chicago Bears (+10.5) heading to Detroit to take on the Lions. The Lions are mounted atop the NFC through 12 weeks with the Eagles making some noise behind them. Caleb Williams will play his first Thanksgiving Day game of many with Chicago and the Bears need to get back on track desperately after losing 5 straight; if they fail to cover this double-digit spread it may be the end of Matt Eberflus as concerns continue to mount. The total is set at 48.5, so here’s hoping for a high-scoring affair right out of the gate! Let’s get into my best Bears vs Lions player prop bet for Thanksgiving, while you can also get our NFL picks for EVERY Thanksgiving and Week 13 matchup.
Read our full Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions prediction, which includes a 3-star best bet!
Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) over 70.5 receiving yards (-110)
Odds available at Bet365 at time of publishing.
The Bears run zone coverage at top-10 rate in the NFL this season and that aligns perfectly with Amon-Ra St. Brown’s success this season. According to PFF, he sees a 29% target share against zone defense and gets the 2nd-most fantasy points per route run against zone in the NFL. In last season’s Thanksgiving Day game against the Packers, St. Brown had 9 receptions for 95 yards and the year prior he registered 9 receptions for 122 yards. Given his target share against zone defenses, we can expect 7+ targets for ASB. When he sees 7+ in a game this season, he hits this mark in 4 of 6. Let’s count on a productive game from Detroit’s star receiver. 1u
Get our Bears vs Lions touchdown scorer best bets at +210 and +225 odds after our expert went 6-3 last week for +8.4 units!
