Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley
Show Bio
We wrap up NFL Week 12 with another potential playoff matchup in the AFC between the Baltimore Ravens (-2.5) and the Los Angeles Chargers on Monday Night Football. The real story here is the battle of the Harbaugh brothers for the first time since Super Bowl 47. John Harbaugh (Baltimore) owns a 2-0 record against his brother, but tonight marks the first time Jim has home-field advantage. The Chargers hope to get back Khalil Mack tonight after missing him in last week’s SNF matchup with the Bengals. The Ravens meanwhile look to bounce back after suffering a tough loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers. Let’s get into my best Ravens vs Chargers player prop bet for MNF, while you can also get our NFL picks on the side and total for this game and EVERY matchup throughout the season.
Read our full Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Chargers predictions for MNF with our expert on a 12-3-1 run!
Lamar Jackson (BAL) over 29.5 pass attempts (-128)
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
According to PFF, the Ravens have a clear advantage in pass-blocking tonight against LA and when Lamar Jackson is given time he’s been surgical this season. The Chargers rank in the bottom 10 in pressure rate this season (18.7%). When looking for a comparable matchup this season, the closest we get is the Las Vegas Raiders (17.5). In that game, Jackson threw 34 times, rushing only 5 times.
Jackson’s splits when under pressure compared to when he’s kept clean have large disparities. When kept clean, he’s scrambling on nearly 4% of drop backs compared to 15% when under pressure. Jackson’s median pass attempts on the season sit at 33 so we’re getting a good number and a favorable matchup for him to sit in the pocket and sling it. The Chargers rank 10th overall in opponent pass attempts per game with 33.9. This is a 1u play from me and playable at 30.5.
Don’t miss our expert’s Ravens vs Chargers touchdown scorer best bets for MNF at +160 and +220 odds after going 4-1 yesterday!
