Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley
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Our first game of Wild Card Weekend has Mr. Irrelevant, Brock Purdy, and the San Francisco 49ers taking on the Seattle Seahawks (+10). Last year, only one game during Wild Card Weekend was decided by 6 points or less. Many of these games will be blowouts, and I do not see this one as being any different. Seattle overachieved this season by even making the playoffs and are coming off a draining OT win against the LA Rams. The Seahawks lost both meetings with the 49ers this season, one by 8 points, and another by 20. I’m predicting the 49ers win 27-14 this Saturday.
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George Kittle over 3.5 receptions (-122)
Line available at Fanduel Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
In the playoffs, you cannot get cute with your handicapping. It is win or go home, and sometimes the obvious play is often the right one. Teams are getting the ball in the hands of their best players when it matters most. For Kittle, he’s led the team in targets and has hit this line in every game since Purdy took over at QB. The Seahawks give up the 3rd most targets per game (7.9) to opposing TEs and Kyle Shanahan would be wise to continue feeding Kittle. 1U
Check out our full Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers predictions
Christian McCaffrey TD + SF Win (+105)
Line available at Fanduel Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
I rarely make these 1U plays, but things change in playoff betting. McCaffrey was brought in to help this team win in January and starting Mr. Irrelevant at QB in the playoffs further cements the importance of CMC this weekend. McCaffrey has scored 10 TDs in 11 games for the 49ers this season, including 6 straight to end the season. What put me over the edge on making this play 1U (instead of just TD prop) is that Seattle is the worst redzone defense in the league this season on the road. They allow a TD on 80% of red zone trips as the away team. 1U
Brock Purdy under 224.5 passing yards (-115)
Line available at BetMGM Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
This game is projected to be a rainy one on Saturday with 80-90% chance of precipitation. Purdy has performed exceptionally well since starting in Week 14, but Shanahan is not going to put a ton of pressure on him through the air in his first playoff game. This line is as low as 214.5 on some books, and I love the play under 224.5. Elijah Mitchell and Deebo Samuel returned last week which gives Shanahan even more of an incentive to go with a run heavy approach versus the 25th ranked defense in rush DVOA. Purdy eclipsed this number only twice when seeing 80% or more of the offensive snaps, that was against Las Vegas and Washington, two of the worst secondaries in the league. 0.5U
Anytime TD Scorers
Elijah Mitchell +275
Deebo Samuel +155
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