Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley
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Daniel Jones played arguably the best game of his career and the Giants defense shut down Justin Jefferson in their playoff win last weekend. This week, they travel to Philadelphia to take on divisional rival Eagles (-7.5). The Eagles won both regular season matchups, although the second didn’t mean much with all the Giants’ starters resting. In their Week 14 matchup, the Eagles won handily 48-22. I’m expecting more of the same this Saturday. The Eagles secondary is night and day different from what Daniel Jones played against last week in Minnesota and playing from behind will only add to his frustrations. The Giants will need to pitch a perfect game to make this competitive, but I’m leaning the Birds giving -7.5.
Check out our New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles predictions
DeVonta Smith over 62.5 receiving yards (-110)
Line available at bet365 at the time of publishing.
After watching what Adoree Jackson did to Justin Jefferson, I’m avoiding the AJ Brown matchup entirely. Smith finished the Week 10 game vs NYG with 8 targets, 5 receptions and 64 yards, with a long of 41 yards. To finish the season, Smith went on a tear, clearing this number in 6 straight games. For his career, he’s had 5+ receptions against the Giants in 3/4 games and should see 8+ targets on Saturday. This is my favorite play on Saturday for 1.5U and would not be shocked to see this at 67.5 by kickoff.
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Miles Sanders under 70.5 rushing yards (-120)
Line available at PointsBet at the time of publishing.
Sanders fell below this line in 7 of the last 9 games, with the Giants being 1 of the 2 he went over. This Giants defense looks every bit different than the one he faced on December 11th. Leonard Williams and Dexter Lawrence looked dominant last week against the Minnesota Vikings, holding Dalvin Cook to just 60 yards on 15 attempts. This line is 66.5-68.5 on all other books, so getting the under at 70.5 feels safe.
Sanders has only hit this line once in the last 4 matchups with the Giants and I believe the majority of the rushing yards will come from Jalen Hurts on Saturday. In addition to this higher-than-normal line, Sanders’ snap count is less than ideal to hit this number. He’s averaging 56% of the snaps on the season, while Boston Scott and Kenneth Gainwell are in the mix on a weekly basis. 1U
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Jalen Hurts over 8.5 rush attempts (-140)
Line available on BetMGM at the time of publishing.
This line is well below his season average of 11 per game and this is what Philadelphia has been waiting for all season: a home playoff game against a division rival. Hurts is averaging 9.4 rush attempts per game at home and has hit this number in 11/15 games (73%). The games he missed this mark were 3 victories with an average margin of victory of 24 points and their one loss to Washington. I do expect the Eagles to cover, but not win by 20+ points on Saturday. I realize this number is heavily juiced, but it’s at the magic number of 8.5 that he hits with consistency. The juice is worth the squeeze. 1U
Anytime Touchdown Scorers
DeVonta Smith +135
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