Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley
Show Bio
The marquee game for Christmas Eve is the Las Vegas Raiders heading east to play the Pittsburgh Steelers. Both teams are mathematically alive but will require A LOT of help to make the playoffs. Either way, we can expect clear skies and frigid temperatures (12 degrees). The total is set at 38.5, so we may not get an explosive offensive output, but we can still find player props to target.
Najee Harris, RB, PIT to score a touchdown (+125)
Line available on DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
Very rarely do I give out a TD prop as 1 of my favorites for the game. It can be a fluky prop to handicap, but when the stars align and the value presents itself, I won’t shy away. Harris has come alive over these last 5 weeks, scoring a TD in 4 of the last 5. The Raiders have given up a rushing TD to an opposing RB in 7 of the last 8 games. The weather conditions will be brutal, as mentioned above, and there will probably be very few trips into the red zone. With that said, I expect Harris to get at least 4 to 5 goal-line carries on Saturday night and he should be able to capitalize on at least 1 of them. Harris is on record stating this game is being played in late great Franco Harris’ honor, as they are retiring his number during the game. This should be closer to -105, but this is 1U from me.
Davante Adams, WR, LV Over 67.5 receiving yards (-120)
Line available on FanDuel Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
You know who is very comfortable playing in frigid temperatures this late in the season? Former Green Bay Packer Davante Adams. He is coming off of 2 down performances, having been locked up by Jalen Ramsey on MNF and against New England head coach Bill Belichick and the #2 defense in pass DVOA. I consider those outliers more than anything and the Steelers’ pass defense is middle of the pack at best (18th in pass DVOA). When you combine the weather with a bit of a dip in production, you get an opportunistic line of 67.5 — well below his season average of 91 ypg. Since 2018, Adams has averaged 92 ypg in the month of December; I don’t expect the cold to slow him down now. 1U.
Anytime TD Scorers
Davante Adams +170
Pickswise is the home of free NFL Picks and NFL Odds. Check out the latest NFL Prop Bets and NFL Parlays as well as expert NFL Underdog Picks and NFL Computer Picks.
