Monday Night Football in Week 5 and we are given an AFC West gem. The Las Vegas Raiders are traveling to Kansas City to play the Chiefs (-7). Patrick Mahomes is 7-1 against the Raiders dating back to 2018, with the one loss coming at home in 2019. The Chiefs bounced back well against Tampa Bay following an ugly loss the Colts. The Raiders are coming off their first win of the season against the Broncos and are looking to right the ship after an ugly 1-3 start under new HC Josh McDaniels.
We have good history between McDaniels against Chiefs defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo so let’s see if we can find a few angles in Monday night’s matchup.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling over 40.5 receiving yards (-114)
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
MVS has hit this line in 3/4 games this season with a great opportunity Monday in what should be an explosive game. He is 3rd on the team in targets (23) and gets a very favorable matchup in CB Rock Ya-Sin. The Chiefs DB is allowing 15.2 yards per reception and his help safety, Jonathan Abram, is one of the worst in the league. Abram has allowed opposing QBs a passer rating of 104.7. If MVS can get open on the right side of this Raiders secondary, it will be for big chunks. He’s seen 5+ targets in 3 straight games and averaging nearly 13 yards per reception. Put me down for 1U and play up to 42.5.
Be sure to check out our full Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs predictions
Clyde Edwards Helaire under 48.5 rushing yards (-115)
Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
CEH has played exceptionally well this season behind one of the better offensive lines in the league, but there’s a reason this line is under 50 for a running back who’s averaging 69YPG. This Raiders defense is allowing 3.92 YPC (8th-best) and is getting ILB Denzel Perryman back in the lineup Monday night. CEH has not played more than 56% of the snaps all season and rookie Isiah Pacheco is looming in the background. Pacheco is coming off the best performance of his young career.
This game shapes up to be a full-blown aerial attack and CEH has only hit this line once against the Raiders in 3 games for his career. If the Raiders can make the Chiefs abandon the run early, we could see CEH be used strictly in passing situations. Unders aren’t fun to bet on, but sometimes you need to eat your vegetables. Put me on for 0.5U.
We have Raiders vs Chiefs touchdown scorer best bets, including one at +230 odds
Hunter Renfrow over 4.5 receptions (-105)
Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
I mentioned the McDaniels/Spagnuolo angle in the opening paragraph. Here is where it comes into play. In the AFC Championship game in 2019, slot WR Julien Edelman had 10 targets and 7 receptions for 96 yards. Renfrow is playing his first snaps since Week 2, where he had 10 targets and 7 receptions. He gets a very difficult matchup in Nickel CB L’Jarius Sneed, but he still giving up a 78% completion percentage (21 catches on 27 targets). If those numbers hold true, Renfrow would only need 7 targets to hit this figure. Love this line at the 4.5 and its my 1.5U play of the night.
Lock in our Raiders vs Chiefs Same Game Parlay at +594 odds
Raiders vs Chiefs anytime touchdown scorer best bets
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at the time of publishing
Hunter Renfrow (+290)
Darren Waller (+230)
Pickswise is the home of free NFL Picks and NFL Odds. Check out the latest NFL Prop Bets and NFL Parlays as well as expert NFL Underdog Picks and NFL Computer Picks.