Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley
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If I told you back in August that the Packers vs Bills would be a 10.5 spread, you would probably think I was insane. As we sit here 8 weeks into the NFL season, the Packers are at risk of missing the playoffs entirely. The Bills have lived up to all the lofty expectations and Josh Allen is sitting as MVP front runner at the moment. Allen Lazard will be out for Green Bay and Buffalo will be without OT Spencer Brown.
Check out our full Packers vs Bills preview.
Sammy Watkins Over 38.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Line available at Caesars Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
Yes, I’m playing the Buffalo return angle. Watkins started his career as a first-round pick to the Buffalo Bills before being dealt in 2017 to the Los Angeles Rams. Green Bay Assistant Coach Jason Vrable was showing Watkins clips this week in practice, particularly of his game winning TD vs Minnesota this season to hype him up for this game. With Allen Lazard out, Watkins will be in for a big role. His receptions line is heavily juiced in favor of over 3.5 even though he’s yet to hit that mark all season. Watkins will draw CB Kaiir Elam in coverage who’s allowing at 77% reception rate and 10 yards per reception. While I do think Watkins hits his 4-reception mark, the juice is just too much for me at -156. His aDOT in weeks 2+7 (his best of 3 games this year) averaged out to 18.5. 1U from me.
Lock in our Packers vs Bills +747 Same Game Parlay
Josh Allen Over 34.5 Passing Attempts (+100)
Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
Josh Allen in primetime is something special. In 16 career primetime games, he’s thrown for 45 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 68% completion. This game will continue Allen’s “Passing of the Torch” season. He’s taken down the Super Bowl champions Patrick Mahomes, and Lamar Jackson, next is Aaron Rodgers. He’s hit this line in 4/6 games this season and the Bills are averaging 70 offensive plays per game with a 70/30 pass-run split. I’m on this for 1U.
Don’t miss our Sunday Night Football TD scorer best bets
Anytime TD Scorers
Sammy Watkins +400
Stefon Diggs -115
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