Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley
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Sunday night we are given a Week 18 rematch between the Baltimore Ravens and Cincinnati Bengals (-9.5). The Bengals won that game 27-16 and rolled out a vanilla offense in assumption they would meet again in the wild card round. Lamar Jackson has confirmed this week that he will not play in this game and Tyler Huntley was throwing at practice on Thursday, dealing with tendinitis in his shoulder. My expectation is that Huntley plays…but it shouldn’t make a difference. Bengals cover 31-13.
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Tyler Boyd over 33.5 receiving yards (-115)
Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
I was on this play last week for 1.5U as Boyd’s matchup against safety Kyle Hamilton was a complete mismatch. We saw a fair amount of Hamilton last week and Daryl Worley. The results? 15 targets 8 receptions 74 yards when defending the slot. I may like this play even more in the wild card round as the Bengals will be less inclined to feed Hayden Hurst the ball to hit contract incentives. Boyd ran the 2nd most routes to Ja’Marr Chase last week with 97% of his snaps in the slot. With the playbook being opened a bit more this week, I expect Boyd to have the same impact for this Bengals offense and win his matchup with ease. 1.5U
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Isaiah Likely over 13.5 receiving yards (-110)
Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
Mark Andrews is back this week and will be the Bengals’ main focal point on defense during passing downs. Isaiah Likely exploded last week in Andrews’ absence and showed good rapport with QB Anthony Brown. The Ravens intend on mixing in both Tyler Huntley and Brown today, but I see mainly a run-heavy approach from Baltimore to limit Joe Burrow & co.’s time on the field. Likely will be on the field in 2 TE sets, which I see happening very frequently today and it’s the main reason I’m on this play. This line is low enough for Likely to hit it in a single reception, as he’s done 6 times this season. 1U
Anytime TD Scorers
Tyler Boyd (+230)
JK Dobbins (+220)
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