Filip Tomic
We were just one Paul George point short of cashing on our 3rd Same Game Parlay in 4 attempts last night, I’m hoping to make amends with today’s Nuggets vs Celtics game. My Same Game Parlay is priced at +350 odds, you can see it below. Be sure to visit our NBA Picks page for predictions on Sunday’s slate, but now let’s get into my Nuggets vs Celtics SGP bet!
DEN Nuggets ML (+134)
Nikola Jokic Over 22.5 Reb + Ast (+130)
Derrick White to Score 15+ Points (-280)
Same Game Parlay odds: +350
DEN Nuggets ML (+134)
Sunday’s clash has the potential to be one of the better regular season games this season as the Nuggets bring their impressive road record of 5 wins in 6 games to TD Garden. There’s no point in wasting words on how good Jokic has been during this run, but the form of Jamal Murray is something that should please the Nuggets fans as he is finally looking like the player he was during the Nuggets championship run back in 2023. Over his last 9 games he’s averaging 25.8 points on 54% shooting from the field and 56.7% from three, all season highs. One of the major reasons why the Nuggets just ended the Pistons long win streak was Murray’s 31 point night.
Meanwhile, Boston has dropped two games in a row against the Pistons and Cavaliers. Health has played a huge part in both of those losses, for Sunday’s game Jrue Holiday, Kristaps Porzingis and Jaylen Brown are all listed as game-time decisions which could have a negative impact on the result here. If there’s one thing we could hold against the Celtics here it’s their ATS record in home games which stands at just 11-18 this season. This team relies heavily on the three-point shot and on certain nights when it’s not going they are in trouble. Denver has done relatively well in that department defensively, they’ll be amped up to get revenge for that loss earlier in the year at Ball Arena when Jokic didn’t play. With the Joker back the Nuggets are a force and I have them pulling off the upset here.
Nikola Jokic Over 22.5 Reb + Ast (+130)
We’ve seen the Joker fill the box score for a number of years now, but what he’s been doing lately is impressive even for his standards. Over his past 10 games he’s averaging 27.2 points, 12.1 rebounds and 11.2 assists per game on 61% shooting from the field. It’s no wonder he has now overtaken SGA for the number one spot in the MVP race according to NBA.com. The Nuggets have flourished lately with 11 wins in 13 games, of course their leader Jokic deserves a lot of credit for that run. He’s cleared this line 8 times in 12 games, including his last 6 in a row. Boston has struggled guarding opposing big men this season, they just aren’t equipped to handle a versatile player like Jokic down low. The last 3 meetings are proof of that with the 3-time MVP averaging 32 points, 12 rebounds and 10.7 assists per game, clearing this line in 2 of those games. Expect another stat sheet stuffing night from the Joker as he carries the Nuggets to an upset win on the road.
Derrick White to Score 15+ Points (-280)
Derrick White has been a model citizen this entire season, rarely missing games and consistently getting to his season averages. With the uncertainty surrounding Holiday, Porzingis and Brown here, White might have to do additional work on offense and I am more than happy to include him in my Same Game Parlay bet. He capped of February by averaging 17.3 points per game, clearing this line 6 games in a row. In his last home game vs the Nuggets he finished with 24 points on 50% shooting, including 5 threes made. Having great role players is the main reason why the Celtics have been so good for so long. With the focus of most opponents being on how to contain Tatum and Brown, the likes of White, Porzingis, Pritchard and others can go a bit under the radar and that could very well be the case in Sunday’s game.
