NHL Wednesday parlay at mega (+868) odds, today 11/16: Sabres and Senators score with ease

Mark Lammey

Show Bio

I've been a capper since my love for sports met my proficiency with numbers and math. The NFL and NCAAF have always been my first loves, followed by the NHL. Although I prefer sports that involve hitting people, I still love capping MLB, soccer, tennis, and even some esports. Living in Florida has its perks like year-round sports of any kind. For Mark Lammey media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.

Buffalo Sabres vs Ottawa Senators – Over 6.5 (-135)

It’s no surprise that this game is priced so heavily towards the over. It will likely flip to 7 total goals on some books, so be sure to shop around for the best number. This is the only Eastern Conference clash and it’s the two teams at the bottom of the Atlantic Division. While that may make it sound like they’re struggling teams, they’ve each had their fair share of strong showings. Buffalo has pulled off big road wins over the Edmonton Oilers and Calgary Flames, and they scored 10 goals across those 2 games.

Buffalo will be on the road again for this matchup, but that should not prevent them from finding the back of the net. The Senators sit at the very bottom of the Atlantic, primarily due to poor goaltending. They’ve allowed the 7th-most goals per game, and just allowed 4 goals to a defensive team in the New York Islanders at home on Monday night. Buffalo is the 5th-highest scoring team in the NHL and can take advantage of Ottawa’s weakness. The Sabres also don’t defend particularly well when on the road. They’re allowing 3.5 goals per game outside of Buffalo, and will now be on a back-to-back. With that in mind, expect plenty of goals from both ends tonight.

St. Louis Blues 3-way ML (-105) over Chicago Blackhawks

We’re going to pivot away from the total for this Central Division battle. The Blues have been a strange case this season in terms of their streakiness. They opened up the season with 3 straight wins, then lost their next 8, and have now won each of their last 3 contests. While those types of teams can be hard to trust, we’re going to do so tonight. Part of that is due to their last 2 wins being against such strong opponents. Those victories came against the Vegas Golden Knights, who lead the entire Western Conference, and the Colorado Avalanche, who are the defending Stanley Cup champions.

Better yet, both of those victories came on the road. That’s where the Blues find themselves tonight, to take on a Blackhawks team that was just shut out on their home ice. That was actually the 2nd time they’ve failed to score within their last 4 games. That doesn’t bode well when facing a goaltender in Jordan Binnington that is finding his groove. After saving 34 shots against the Golden Knights over the weekend, he just saved 45 Avalanche shots on Monday night. Chicago is almost entirely reliant on Patrick Kane at this point with Seth Jones on the injured list as well. The Blackhawks have lost 7 of their last 9 games, and we expect that trend to continue against St. Louis.

Be sure to check out our St. Louis Blues vs Chicago Blackhawks predictions

Edmonton Oilers ML over Los Angeles Kings & Over 6.5 (+185)

We’re finishing things off with a combo play. This is for the Oilers to both win and for the total to go over 6.5 goals. That’s how Edmonton prefers to win games, which should come as no surprise with a team led by Connor McDavid. Alongside Leon Draisaitl, they are the top 2 point-scorers in the NHL. That alone is great reasoning for both the Oilers’ chances to win this matchup and for it to be a high-scoring contest. McDavid is going for his 5th Hart Trophy for the most points in the league after winning each of the last 2 seasons. Draisaitl is routinely right behind him in that regard.

McDavid and Draisaitl are likely to pad their stats against a Kings team that has not been sound defensively. They just allowed 4 goals in the first period alone to the Calgary Flames on Monday night. That too was a road game, which is where LA has struggled. They’ve now allowed the 6th-most goals per game when outside of their home arena. These Pacific Division rivals also met in the first round of the playoffs last season. The series opener was in Edmonton, which had 7 goals scored and when they transitioned back up to Canada for Game 5, there were 9 total goals scored. The Oilers also just took down the high-flying Florida Panthers their last time on the ice. That all adds up to a home team win with plenty of goals scored.

Be sure to check out our Los Angeles Kings vs Edmonton Oilers predictions