Ryan Hodges
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The middle of the week brings just a 3-game NHL slate. The Devils will visit the Red Wings looking to turn around their current slide. The Lightning visit the Wild in what should be a fast, physical, close game. The night cap will be what appears to be a lopsided matchup with the Stars visiting the Ducks. There is a good chance your team is not suited up on Wednesday night. With that being the case, why not make a few plays to get a rooting interest?
If you are looking to combine some picks from these games, check out this NHL mega parlay that has +1390 odds with DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Devils vs Red Wings over 6.5 (-110)
Lightning ML (-105)
Stars -1.5 & under 6.5 (+300)
Parlay odds: +1390
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New Jersey Devils vs Detroit Red Wings over 6.5 (-110)
The Devils and Red Wings have met twice this season in games that both hit a total of 7 goals. With those games, the total has now gone over in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matchups between these teams. High game totals have been more prominent for the Red Wings lately. The over has hit in 5 of their last 6 games. In those 6 games, they averaged 8.5 goals. Detroit is 3-2-1 in that stretch with 3 home games and 3 road games. Lately it does not matter if the Red Wings win or lose, are at home or on the road, or if they are playing good or bad teams. Their totals are climbing.
The Devils hope to be breaking out of a rough patch a little bit as they have points in 3 out of their last 5 games. New Jersey’s 2 regulation losses in that span both came to Boston by scores of 4-3 and 3-1. As good as the Bruins are, those losses don’t indicate poor form. The Devils are looking to get hot again and have a good chance to light up the scoreboard on Wednesday. Among NHL ranks, they are 9th in goals scored per game and 5th in shots on goal per game. The Devils have scored 4 goals in each of their last 2 games and in 3 of their last 5. New Jersey’s incentive and current form combined with Detroit’s trends look good for the over.
Lock in tonight’s best NHL player props — we’re on a 6-2 run!
Tampa Bay Lightning ML over Minnesota Wild (-105)
This game should be the best of the night. These are a couple of very good teams that are playing very good hockey. In what should be a great game, the value looks a bit better for the Lightning. Tampa has been a bit more consistent this season than Minnesota. Having reached the Stanley Cup Finals in the last 3 seasons, the Lightning have showed they have the pedigree to be more reliable in competitive games. The Lightning have more points in fewer games played than the Wild while also being in a stronger, deeper, more competitive division. They are 9-2 in their last 11 games with no indication that they will be slowing down any time soon.
Among NHL ranks, the Lightning are top 10 in goals scored per game (3rd), power play (5th) and penalty kill (7th). Each of those rank better than the Wild. Tampa also has better numbers than Minnesota in goal differential, save percentage, and shot differential. Their higher-end talent has performed a bit better than that of the Wild this season. Tampa’s top 5 scorers have 192 points to Minnesota’s 158. The Lightning’s roster has a total 358 points and team plus-minus of +52 to the Wild’s 302 and +39 respectively. In what should be a great game, the Lightning look to be the more reliable play.
Check out our full NHL analysis for Wednesday’s slate
Dallas Stars -1.5 over Anaheim Ducks & under 6.5 goals (+300)
The Stars sit 2nd in the West with a game in hand while the Ducks are tied for the 2nd-fewest points in the NHL. In their lone head-to-head matchup this season, Dallas beat Anaheim 5-0. The Stars rank top 7 in the league in goals scored and allowed per game, power play, penalty kill, faceoff percentage and goals scored 5 on 5. They also have much better numbers than the Ducks in goal differential, shot differential, save percentage, hit differential, home-road splits, records as favorite vs underdogs, and records against the spread overall as well as at home and on the road. The Ducks are at or near the cellar in the league in several statistical categories reflecting their disadvantage against just about every team in the NHL.
The under has been prominent for both teams lately. The total has gone under in 12 of the Stars’ last 18 games and in 9 of their last 10 on the road. For the Ducks, the under has hit in 5 of their last 6 games, in 4 of their last 5 at home, and in 5 of the last 6 head-to-head against the Stars. Anaheim’s 2nd-worst goal scoring and 3rd-worst power play matched up against Dallas’ 7th-best goal prevention and 3rd-best penalty kill look good for the under again. The Stars put up a 5-spot in their only head-to-head matchup this season and the game still went under. This game has a good chance to repeat similar results.
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