The postseason is all but finalized and Wednesday looks to be a turning point for better or worse for the playoff teams that will be suited up. The Flames had their hearts broken on Tuesday night as their season was dealt a nail in its coffin. But the Islanders and Stars are very much in need of the 2 points that they are going after. With not long left to go in the regular season, Wednesday will bring the heat. If you’re looking to combine a few plays that have value, check out this NHL mega parlay that has +1302 odds with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Islanders ML & Under 5.5 (+175)
Stars -1.5 (+155)
Flames -1.5 (+100)
NHL parlay odds: +1302
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New York Islanders ML over Montreal Canadiens & Under 5.5 (+175)
The Canadiens come at a very welcomed time in the Islanders’ schedule. At least, that should be the case. The Islanders are clinging to the final wildcard spot in the Eastern Conference by just a point ahead of the Penguins. If the Islanders win, they’re in. They get a very soft matchup against a banged-up and overall weaker Canadiens team. The Canadiens have been near the cellar of the NHL standings from the jump this season. They are outmatched in several facets of the game, as evidenced by their poor rankings in several statistical categories. Montreal has also dropped 5 of their last 6 games and 4 of their last 5 on the road. The Canadiens have been getting steamrolled by opponents lately. Unless the Islanders just don’t show up, they should be able to get the better of Montreal.
If the Islanders are going to win the big game, it should largely be due to their rigid defense. They rank 5th in the NHL in goals allowed per game and 24th in goals scored per game. That strength and weakness combination typically bodes well for the under, especially for a playoff-caliber team. In the Islanders’ last 6 wins, they have allowed a total of 6 goals. Lately, when this team wins, they completely contain and limit the damage by the opposition. There have been 10 total goals scored in 2 head-to-head matchups between these teams this season. Wednesday’s game should reinforce that average.
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Dallas Stars -1.5 over St. Louis Blues (+155)
The Stars and Blues have played once this season in a game that Dallas won 4-1. They now close their season with a home and home against each other. Considering Dallas is the better team and these 4 points are massive to them, similar results in those games would not be remotely surprising. The Stars sit a point behind Colorado for the top spot in the Central. Minnesota is just 2 points behind Dallas. These 2 games can either see Dallas win the Central and play a wild-card team in the first round, or finish 2nd or 3rd in the Central, making their first-round opponent Minnesota or Colorado. These are 2 points the Stars really want.
The Blues have been a model for inconsistency all season long. Despite decent play over the past couple of weeks, there is no guarantee they will sustain it game-over-game or even period-over-period. The Stars have won 4 consecutive games and 6 out of their last 7. Over that 7-game span, they have a +16 goal differential, which even includes a 3-goal loss. That is an average of +2.29 goals per game. Dallas ranks top 7 in the NHL in goals scored and allowed per game, power play, penalty kill and faceoff percentage. The Blues’ best rank among those high-level stats is 15th, which is much higher than their rank of the other 4 metrics. Dallas has much better numbers against the spread, both overall and on the road compared to the Blues at home to replicate this matchup. This one should be all Dallas.
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Calgary Flames -1.5 over San Jose Sharks (+100)
The Flames had a great run to end the season but ultimately came up short as the Jets clinched the final playoff spot in the Western Conference last night. This is the last game of Calgary’s season, and they should go out with a convincing win. Even though they no longer have playoff motivation, they are a far better team than the Sharks. Most teams in the league are better than the Sharks. Calgary’s “B” game, maybe even “C” game, could beat San Jose’s “A” game if those were the respective efforts that these teams bring tonight. The Sharks have spent all season near the cellar of the NHL standings and things have not changed much recently. Any small, good stretch of hockey the Sharks have is wiped away by a losing streak to follow. That is where they find themselves now.
The Sharks won 3 games in a row earlier this month, and have since gone winless in their last 4 with a -14 goal differential during that span. That is an average loss by 3.5 goals. That number is just higher than their average loss to the Flames this season, which is by 3 goals. In 3 head-to-head games, the Flames beat the Sharks in all 3 by scores of 5-2, 7-3, and 5-3. Calgary simply matches up well against San Jose.
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