The Packers can’t stop winning right now and are searching for a sixth straight victory when they host the 2-4 Washington Football Team on Sunday. Green Bay has got the job done without really hammering anyone into the ground during their winning run, although they have still done enough to go 5-0 ATS. Reigning MVP Aaron Rodgers is back to his old self, getting the most out of the small receiving group around him, while the defense has stepped up to help keep the NFC North outfit ticking along.
While Green Bay is soaring, Washington is plummeting at an alarming speed. The Football Team are giving up more points than anyone in the NFL, while Taylor Heinicke’s time in the spotlight could be coming to an end if performances don’t improve soon.
The outcome looks like a foregone conclusion so we’ve spiced this Week 7 contest up with a same game parlay that pays out at…
Green Bay Packers -7.5 (-115)
Aaron Jones anytime touchdown scorer (-210)
J.D. McKissic anytime touchdown scorer (+190)
Parlay odds: +898
Let’s take a look at each leg.
Green Bay Packers -7.5 (-115)
Green Bay opened up as 10-point favorites but that number has come down significantly and is now far more appealing at a little over a converted touchdown. Nothing about Washington screams upset right now, while they have failed to cover on the three occasions they have kicked off as an underdog this season.
Washington is giving up a league-high 309.5 passing yards per game on average, which will be music to the ears of Rodgers and Davante Adams, the Packers pair having got on the same page the last two weeks, combing for 295 yards. Washington was easily carved up by Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs last week and while the pass rush was slightly improved, it wasn’t enough to stop Kansas City hanging 31 points on them.
On offense, Heinicke is drinking in the last chance saloon. Washington are averaging 20 ppg in their last four outings with him under center, although the mitigating factor is the injuries to his receiving core. He is bringing a knife to a gunfight and is unlikely to put up enough points for Washington to cover, especially if Green Bay can maintain their average of allowing 22.7 ppg.
Don’t forget to check out our full preview of Washington Football Team vs Green Bay Packers
Aaron Jones anytime touchdown scorer (-210)
While Adams is clearly Rodgers’ favorite target right now, that hasn’t stopped Jones from getting in his fair share of work in this Packers offense. Jones and AJ Dillon proved a very effective running back combination against the Bears last week, piling up 154 yards on the ground between them.
Jones remains the third-down back of choice for Green Bay though, being targeted four times in the win over Chicago, while he also had six redzone targets against the Bears. For all his regular activity in the Packers attack, Jones has gone three games without a touchdown but could end that run this week.
Washington has given up six touchdowns to running backs this year, the most in the league, and Jones has carved up Washington before, averaging 8 yards per carry across two previous meetings. He’s scored one TD in those two games and could get in the endzone once more.
J.D. McKissic anytime touchdown scorer (+190)
With Curtis Samuel and Logan Thomas out, and Terry McLaurin and Antonio Gibson struggling with injuries, Washington’s options on offense are severely limited. They had the same issues last week for the visit of Kansas City and that resulted in a heavy workload for running back J.D. McKissic.
McKissic led the team in targets, catching 8 of the 10 throws that came his way and turning that into 65 yards. That’s the third time this year he’s put over 40 receiving yards and if Gibson is unable to operate at 100% then McKissic could get a lot of looks again from Heinicke, making the +190 about him finding the endzone very appealing.
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