Andrew Wilsher
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The first NFL London game of the year has arrived as the New York Jets take on the Atlanta Falcons at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Both teams fly over to England with a 1-3 record, with the Jets picking up their first victory of the season last week through an overtime win against the Titans. There is a big difference between entering your bye week with a 2-3 record and a 1-4 record, and the Jets and Falcons will be highly motivated to put in a big performance.
This should be an exciting morning matchup kicking off at 9:30am ET, and one way to make it even more thrilling is by betting a same game parlay. We have a 3-legger here, with a payout just shy of 10/1.
New York Jets +3 (-104)
Jamison Crowder to score a touchdown (+155)
Mike Davis to score a touchdown (-115)
Parlay odds: +999
The benefit of same game parlays is that you can combine plays that on paper appear slightly contradictory to boost the odds, when there isn’t actually too much crossover. That’s what we’re going for here. The Jets +3 correlates nicely with a Jamison Crowder touchdown, while adding in Atlanta’s Mike Davis to also find the endzone bumps up the odds considerably. In reality, there isn’t actually too much contradiction there as I don’t expect New York to secure a shutout, and their struggles against the run should make them vulnerable to Davis. Let’s break it all down.
New York Jets +3 (-104)
The Jets seemed to finally turn a corner last Sunday when they just about edged past the Titans in overtime. Zach Wilson started delivering on the promise that made him the number two overall pick in this year’s draft, with some exceptional throws that resulted in tremendous touchdowns from Corey Davis and Crowder. He should be full of confidence after that effort, and he now gets to take on a Falcons defense that has allowed 11 passing touchdowns already this season, which is tied for the most in the league. Atlanta is also yet to record an interception, which is good news for Wilson as he already has 8 this year.
The Falcons have blown hot and cold this season so it is hard to get a read on them, but ultimately they don’t look the team they used to be. Matt Ryan has been inconsistent, and he’s now going up against a Jets defense that has actually allowed the fewest passing touchdowns in the NFL. Their D is improving every week and after recording 7 sacks on Ryan Tannehill last week, I expect the Falcons QB to be under plenty of pressure. I’m predicting a close game, but the Jets have more upside right now and look like a great bet with the field-goal insurance to get this parlay started.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons
Jamison Crowder to score a touchdown (+155)
Crowder found the endzone against Tennessee last week in his first start of the season, and I like his chances of scoring another in London. Crowder had 7 receptions for 61 yards in that game and tends to get plenty of targets when he’s on the field, so he should therefore have a few opportunities to score points against the Falcons. The fact Atlanta has allowed the most passing TDs is a big indicator that a Jets receiver will score, and although Wilson has built a great relationship with Corey Davis, Crowder poses tremendous value given his style of play and what he showed last week.
Mike Davis to score a touchdown (-115)
Now for the contradictory play. I should start by saying that Davis hasn’t actually scored a rushing touchdown this season (he did catch a pass for a TD last week against Washington) but I do think he’s got a great shot at running it in. One of the most shocking stats of the season so far is that the Jets have allowed just 2 passing touchdowns, and although that will change, opposing offenses have clearly had more success running the ball into the endzone — the Jets have allowed 6 rushing TDs. While Davis has not yet scored a rushing TD, he has been a solid ball-carrier for the Falcons and is too talented for this drought to continue. Atlanta’s offense is hot enough to have at least a couple of field positions within the 10-yard line, and that’s where I expect Davis to leave his mark.
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