Andrew Wilsher
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A big game here in Week 4 of the NFL season as the 3-0 Carolina Panthers take on the 2-1 Dallas Cowboys. Both teams have looked red hot so far this season, but the Panthers head to the AT&T Stadium without star running back Christian McCaffrey.
To add even more excitement to this matchup, we’ve come up with a same game parlay at +819 odds.
Under 51.5 points (-110)
Ezekiel Elliott under 61.5 rushing yards (-113)
DJ Moore to score a touchdown (+135)
Parlay odds: +819
The benefit of same game parlays is that you can combine plays that on paper appear slightly contradictory to boost the odds, when there isn’t actually too much crossover. That is the plan here, as the under on points and Elliott rushing yards correlate nicely, but the contradiction comes from the Moore TD. That doesn’t actually go against either of those plays too much, as it is a fairly high total line and I think Moore has the best shot of finding the endzone out of any of the Panthers.
Under 51.5 points (-110)
This total line is set far too high in my opinion. The Panthers have allowed just 30 points all season, the second-fewest in the NFL, and on top of that they boast the best run defense in the league so far this season, allowing just 2.4 yards per carry. They are also only allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 52.5 percent of their pass attempts, so Dak Prescott could also be in for a frustrating day.
As for the Panthers offense, the absence of McCaffrey is likely to have an impact and Sam Darnold could struggle to get things going against a Cowboys defensive unit that has been much improved this year under Dan Quinn’s guidance.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys
Ezekiel Elliott under 61.5 rushing yards (-113)
As mentioned above, the Panthers run defense has been phenomenal this year. Through three games, they have not allowed an opposing player to rush for more than 24 yards, so this line on Elliott looks particularly steep. Elliott has eclipsed this line in his last two games, but Carolina should be on another level compared to what he’s faced so far. Furthermore, Elliott has been splitting a lot of carries with Tony Pollard this season–meaning he could have fewer opportunities to go over 61 rushing yards.
DJ Moore to score a touchdown (+135)
Sam Darnold has absolutely loved DJ Moore in these first three games and I expect that budding relationship to continue and result in the receiver finding the endzone. Moore has been targeted an incredible 31 times already this season, turning that into 22 receptions and 285 yards (an average of 95 per game). The yardage line looks a little high for me in this one but could certainly be added into this SGP to amp up the odds even more. But I’m happy to roll with Moore finding the endzone, who has had a few chances in recent weeks (he has one on the season) and I expect Darnold to lean on his star wideout even more with McCaffrey ruled out.
Make sure you check out the rest of our same game parlays for EVERY NFL Week 4 game!
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