Andrew Ortenberg
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The 2021 NFL regular season is just about finished now, but we still have one full slate left. Why not celebrate by going for a big payday? That’s right; we’re back with another mega parlay, NFL edition. We’re doing one for each week of the season. I have had a ton of success with these mega parlays, and even hit one at 74/1 in Week 13 last year.
I also hit it one in Week 11 at +1762, and then again for Week 13 at +1255. We came up one last-second field goal short of cashing the Thanksgiving one at 17/1, as well. If you had bet one unit on every NFL mega parlay we’ve done this season, you’d be up over 14 units. Why not do it once more and make it three out of eight weeks? We’re going big and bold again, so let’s not waste any more time. But before we dive in, don’t forget to check out our picks for the side and total on every NFL game.
Houston Texans ML (+400)
Atlanta Falcons ML (+165)
Parlay odds: +1229
Let’s break down each of the two legs one by one.
Houston Texans ML (+400) over Tennessee Titans
Give me Davis Mills to start our final mega parlay of the regular season. Call me crazy, but the Texans being double-digit underdogs at home here just doesn’t add up. This is the same point spread from when these teams played in Tennessee about six weeks ago. And Houston won that game outright! That was when Tyrod Taylor was still at quarterback, and Mills has shown a lot more potential than Taylor recently. Ryan Tannehill threw 4 interceptions in that game, and AJ Brown was playing so he can’t use that excuse.
The Texans aren’t the most talented team but they play super hard each week, and that’s resulted in some huge money line upsets already. Just a couple of weeks ago they beat the Chargers as double-digit home underdogs. Mills has been better than he’s gotten credit for, and even in the Titans’ recent wins they have looked far from impressive. In their ‘big’ win over the Dolphins last week, Tannehill had 120 yards. It’s not hyperbole to say the Titans haven’t had a good game on offense in months.
Be sure to check out our full game preview
Atlanta Falcons ML (+165) over New Orleans Saints
To wrap up our simple two-leg parlay and hopefully bring us home, we have the Falcons. In both of these games, I’m fading the narrative that the team that has ‘more to play for’ will play better. NFL teams are going to play hard and look to play spoiler, especially when they’re at home. Atlanta isn’t going to just roll over here and admit defeat against a division rival just because they aren’t going to the playoffs.
I’m sure they’d love to ruin New Orleans’ chances, and the Saints don’t deserve to be a sizable road favorite over just about anybody. The Falcons already beat the Saints once, and that was was in the Superdome. The final score there wasn’t even as close as it looked, as Atlanta was up 17 with eight minutes left. Matt Ryan has quietly been solid all year and the defense actually played well against Josh Allen last week, intercepting him three times.
Be sure to check out our full game preview
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