Andrew Ortenberg
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The 2021 NFL season has been thrilling, and we have another great slate coming up for Week 15. Why not celebrate the fun by going for a big payday? That’s right; we’re back with another mega parlay, NFL edition. Doing one each week of the season. I have had a ton of success with these mega parlays, and even hit one at 74/1 in Week 13 last year.
I also just hit it for Week 11 at +1762, and then again for Week 13 at +1255. We came up one last-second field goal short of cashing the Thanksgiving one at 17/1, as well. Why not do it once more and make it three out of five weeks? We’re going big and bold again, so let’s not waste any more time. But before we dive in, don’t forget to check out our picks for the side and total on every NFL game.
New York Jets ML (+325)
Cincinnati Bengals ML (+140)
Minnesota Vikings -5.5 (-110)
Parlay odds: +1847
Let’s break down each of the two legs one by one.
New York Jets ML (+325) over Miami Dolphins
We might as well start this mega parlay off with a big money line ‘dog. The Dolphins have been a nice story recently, but they still have a very low floor, and are thus a prime target for a big money line upset. Jaylen Waddle has been the key to Tua Tagovailoa’s recent resurgence with their quick passing game, and now Waddle is out for this one. It’s a truly massive loss, as Waddle has had at least eight receptions in three straight games.
When these teams played earlier this year, the game was tied with 10 minutes to play. Miami’s recent win streak has been way overblown. Just look at who they’ve played. The Giants (with Mike Glennon), Panthers (unraveling rapidly), Jets, Ravens (also coming apart at the seams), and Texans. They couldn’t possibly have played a softer schedule recently.
Be sure to check out our full game preview
Cincinnati Bengals ML (+140) over Denver Broncos
Going with another money line ‘dog for the second leg of our parlay. This is a classic case of overreacting to last week. The Broncos demolished the Lions while the Bengals lost to the 49ers. But I’m not sure we should give Denver too much credit for beating a severely shorthanded Detroit team that’s 1-11-1. On the flip side, I don’t think we should downgrade Cincy just because they lost in overtime to a surging 49ers team in a game where they muffed two punts and just got really unlucky.
On the look ahead line for this game last week, the Bengals were favorites. And now they’re significant underdogs? Doesn’t sit right with me. I don’t have any confidence in Teddy Bridgewater, and in most of the games where he’s been challenged by a competent defense, he’s struggled.
Be sure to check out our full game preview
Minnesota Vikings -5.5 (-110) over Chicago Bears
To wrap this mega parlay up and hopefully bring us home, we’ve got the Vikings on Monday Night Football. If you’ve read my past versions of this mega parlay, you know I’m a believer in Minnesota. Their narrow win over the Steelers last week was a lot more lopsided than the final score suggests. This team has elite talent on both sides of the ball, and I think they’ll win big against a lifeless Bears team.
Mike Zimmer scheming against inexperienced quarterbacks is always a recipe for disaster for those quarterbacks, and I expect Justin Fields to struggle. Not that Fields will be getting much help from his teammates or coaching staff anyway. Chicago’s defense is also a lot worse than most people seem to realize. They’re really banged up on that side of the ball, and have given up 78 points over the last two weeks.
Be sure to check out our full game preview
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