Kevin Davies
Show Bio
Welcome to Week 12 of 18 in the NFL season! There’s a packed Sunday slate of games that ends with a fantastic primetime matchup between the Eagles and Rams, so it’s only right to create a mega parlay for the action. Here’s our 3-team parlay that pays out at almost 10/1 odds!
Broncos -9.5 (+150)
49ers -2.5 (+138)
Eagles -2.5 (-120)
Parlay odds: +990
Denver Broncos alternate spread -9.5 (+150) over Las Vegas Raiders
Bo Nix has shot up the rookie rankings in the last few weeks. Heisman winner Jayden Daniels was the talk of the rookie class in the first month or so, but Nix’s overall consistency is starting to get him recognized. He’s thrown for 1,029 yards, 9 touchdowns, and just 1 interception in the last 4 weeks and gets a fortunate matchup against a terrible Raiders defense in Week 12. However, this won’t be the first time Nix has faced Las Vegas. Denver faced the Raiders back in Week 5 and the game turned one-sided very quickly. Nix threw for 206 yards and 2 touchdowns while rushing for another touchdown as the Broncos won 34-18. Since that loss, the Raiders are 0-5 and have lost by 19, 5, 7, 17, and 15 points. These teams are moving in completely opposite directions lately.
There are several different problems with the Raiders at the moment. Their quarterback situation is concerning, they lack offensive weapons since they traded away Davante Adams, and their defense is allowing the 4th most points per game. Las Vegas has allowed 34, 41, 27, 20, 32, and 34 points in the last 6 weeks. Expect Nix to take advantage of a sinking Raiders team and win by double digits.
San Francisco 49ers alternate spread -2.5 (+138) over Green Bay Packers
This is a great buy-low spot for the 49ers. San Francisco got Christian McCaffrey back two weeks ago and people expected him to be a catalyst of change for the Niners. But the Niners are 1-1 with CMC and their win came from a game-winning field goal against a Bucs squad without Mike Evans or Chris Godwin. I wasn’t too surprised to see them as underdogs for Week 12 in Green Bay considering their recent performances. With that said, the 49ers have still been playing well on offense. Brock Purdy has thrown for over 500 yards and 3 touchdowns in the last 2 weeks, Jauan Jennings has stepped into the role of an elite receiver, and CMC ran for 79 yards last week. It’s on the defense to step up and limit unnecessary penalties.
I’ll be honest – I’ve been disappointed in the Packers lately. That might sound crazy since Green Bay has won 5 of their last 6 games, but just listen. They barely beat a sinking Jags team three weeks ago, their offense was completely shut down by the Lions two weeks ago, and they only beat the Bears last week because they blocked the game-winning field goal. Jordan Love has made a lot of mistakes lately and I think the Niners can capitalize on that and win this game by a field goal or more.
Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 (-120) over Los Angeles Rams
The Eagles might be the hottest team in the NFL right now. Philly is 6-0 in their last 6 games with wins over the Commanders, Cowboys, Jaguars, Bengals, Giants, and Browns. The wins haven’t been small either considering the Eagles scored at least 26 points in 5 of those games. The offense is finally healthy and is looking incredibly dangerous right now with AJ Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert as his top options with Offensive Player of the Year frontrunner Saquon Barkley in the backfield. Philly will take on a Rams defense that has allowed the 11th most points per game this season and has struggled in the secondary. L.A. just surrendered 282 yards and 2 touchdowns to Drake Maye and the Patriots last week.
These teams might go punch-for-punch on offense since the Rams have just as many elite weapons on offense. Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp might be the best wide receiver duo in football right now and Kyren Williams has been a more than serviceable back. Plus, Matthew Stafford has turned back the clock this season. The 36-year-old has thrown 10 total touchdowns and at least 275 passing yards in each game in the last 4 weeks. However, this will be his toughest test yet. The new and improved Philly secondary is allowing the 2nd fewest passing yards per game this season. And the Rams won’t have too much success if they turn to Williams on the ground since the Eagles defensive line has allowed the 7th fewest rushing yards per game.
