Andrew Ortenberg
Show Bio
The 2021 NFL season has been great so far, and we have another exciting slate on Sunday for Week 11. Why not celebrate the fun by going for a big payday? That’s right; we’re back with another mega parlay, NFL edition. I have had a ton of success with these mega parlays, and even hit one at 74/1 in Week 13 last year.
We’re going big and bold again, so let’s not waste any more time. But before we dive in, don’t forget to check out our picks for the side and total on every NFL game.
Indianapolis Colts ML (+265)
Washington Football Team ML (+155)
Minnesota Vikings ML (+100)
Parlay odds: +1762
Let’s break down each of the three legs one by one.
Indianapolis Colts ML (+265) over Buffalo Bills
Let’s start this mega parlay off the only way I know how: a big money line ‘dog. The Colts have value here because Buffalo isn’t as good as you might think. The Bills are 6-3, but they have played arguably the softest schedule in the entire NFL. They had that one good win over the Chiefs, but outside of that their next-best win is over Washington. Indy is 5-2 in its last seven games, and both losses in that span came in overtime.
If a couple of balls had bounced their way, the Colts would be entering this one riding a seven-game winning streak and we wouldn’t be getting nearly 3/1. The team is starting to get a bit healthier, and its dynamic ground game–led by Jonathan Taylor–should have some success here. The way Buffalo plays defense invites teams to run the ball, and Taylor and his 5.8 yards per carry will punish them.
Be sure to check out our full game preview.
Washington Football Team ML (+155) over Carolina Panthers
Speaking of Washington, it is the next leg of our parlay. I’m not buying the Cam Newton hype. It’s a nice story, but we all saw what he looked like last year with the Patriots. Look how much better New England’s offense has gotten after replacing Newton with a rookie in Mac Jones. There’s no way that Newton is fully versed in Carolina’s offense yet, and Washington head coach Ron Rivera knows his weaknesses well from their many years together.
I expect Rivera to help put together a solid defensive game-plan. Washington just beat the Buccaneers by double-digits, and its defense has quietly been playing much better for weeks now. I’m not ready to jump on the Panthers bandwagon just because they pulled off an upset against Colt McCoy and a depleted Cardinals team. Taylor Heinicke doesn’t get enough credit for the mostly solid job he’s done; I would take him over Newton right now.
Be sure to check out our full game preview.
Minnesota Vikings ML (+100) over Green Bay Packers
To wrap up this mega parlay we have the Vikings. Minnesota probably has been the unluckiest team in all of football this year. They Vikes are 4-5, but that record doesn’t come close to telling the full story. They are capable of being elite on both sides of the ball but have caught some really tough breaks all year. If there was ever a team due for some positive regression, it’s this one. The Packers are susceptible to the run, so Dalvin Cook should be in for a big day.
Now is the time to sell high on Green Bay when its market perception is at an all-time high. The Packers run the ball a ton on early downs, so their offensive identity will take a hit now as they play without Aaron Jones. The Vikings’ secondary is finally getting healthy and they just stifled Justin Herbert last week.
Be sure to check out our full game preview.
Pickswise is the home of free NFL Predictions and NFL Odds. Check out the latest NFL Prop Bets and NFL Parlays as well as expert NFL Underdog Picks and NFL Computer Picks.
