Ricky Dimon
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We have arrived at Week 11 of the NFL season, and with less than half of the regular season remaining it would be a good time to take your football betting to Prophet Exchange.
If you are not familiar with sports betting exchanges, you might want to take a look at this guide to betting with Prophet Exchange in addition to exchange betting terminology before diving in and making your wagers. As the name suggests, a sports betting exchange is a platform for exchanging bets from one bettor to another without the need for a bookmaker to set the odds for each outcome. Users can either set their own odds and hope another user will be willing to take the bet, or they can peruse the market to see what odds other users are willing to make and jump on one of those offers.
For example, this Sunday the Jets are +140 underdogs against the Patriots (-165) at most sportsbooks. At those ‘books you can only bet on those 2 teams at those 2 prices. With a sports betting exchange, however, that’s not the case. You could try to get the Jets +160 and if someone is willing to take your offer and grab the Patriots at -160 then a match is made.
One especially important aspect of Prophet Exchange that must be noted is against the spread odds are all available at +100 odds as opposed to the -110 juice you generally encounter at most sportsbooks. That is because in an exchange you are betting against other bettors instead of against the sportsbook; and afterwards, Prophet Exchange takes a commission from the winnings. Needless to say, making a wager at +100 instead of -110 is a huge advantage – especially adding it up over time.
With that, let’s take a look at some best bets for NFL Week 11 that can be made at Prophet Exchange.
Chicago Bears +3 (+100) over Atlanta Falcons
A Bears-Falcons matchup feels like a tossup regardless of the location, so I will happily take 3 points with the Bears even though they are on the road. Justin Fields is playing the best football of his career by a mile right now and he is facing an Atlanta defense that has an anemic pass rush (2nd-to-last in the NFL with 13 sacks). With all the time in the world to go to work, Fields should have a field day on Sunday. Meanwhile, the Falcons were leading the NFC South just a couple of weeks ago but have pretty much thrown their season away with losses to the Chargers and Panthers. It’s tough to recover from getting manhandled by a Carolina.
Check out Pickswise lead betting analyst Jared Smith’s favorite Week 11 plays
Pittsburgh Steelers +5 (+100) over Cincinnati Bengals
This is an ideal spot to back a Mike Tomlin-coached team at home. The Steelers as home ‘dogs under Tomlin are covering spreads at a ridiculous rate from Week 5 onward, posting an ATS record of 14-2-1 and an even better 19-3-1 ATS record in divisional games. This season’s trends are also encouraging, as division-rivalry underdogs between 3-10 points are 18-6 ATS. Combine that with TJ Watt returning last week plus a fully healthy Pittsburgh secondary and you have a Steelers team that is as confident as it has ever been this season. Meanwhile, the Bengals will likely be without star wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase. Tomlin is 21-10 ATS against Cincinnati in his career and I expect Pittsburgh to keep Sunday’s game close. After all, the vast majority of AFC North showdowns are competitive.
Check out our full Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers predictions
Kansas City Chiefs -6.5 (+100) over Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers played decent football through the firs 5 weeks of the season, but since then they are 2-2 with wins only against the Broncos in overtime and the Falcons by 3 points. Their 5 victories in 22 have come against teams that are a combined…wait for it…19 games under .500. The competition level gets much tougher in the form of Kansas City, which is 5-1 in its last 6 with a loss only to Buffalo during this stretch. The Chiefs’ last 3 wins have come by an average of 11.3 points and Patrick Mahomes has established himself as the MVP favorite (+125). When you can give less than a touchdown, Kansas City against the spread has great value – especially when the juice is +100 at Prophet Exchange!
Check out all of our NFL predictions
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