Ricky Dimon
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We cashed 3 Same Game Parlays in Week 8 of the NFL season, profiting +14.68 units as a result. That was preceded by a +1700 Same Game Parlay success on the New York Jets vs Denver Broncos Week 7 contest. Let’s keep the momentum going into Week 9, which begins in the form of Thursday Night Football between the Philadelphia Eagles and Houston Texans.
Below is our SGP for TNF, and also be sure to check out our full Philadelphia Eagles vs Houston Texans picks on the side and total.
Eagles -16.5 alternate spread (+116)
Miles Sanders to score a touchdown (-110)
Miles Sanders to record 100+ rushing yards (+205)
Parlay odds: +547
Part of the value in same game parlays, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is the entire plan here, as Miles Sanders racking up a bunch of yards and also finding the endzone would obviously work well with a big win for Philadelphia. Let’s break down each of these legs one by one.
Philadelphia Eagles -16.5 alternate spread over Houston Texans (+116)
Eight weeks into the 2022 NFL campaign, it’s clear that Philadelphia is no fluke. The Eagles are the only undefeated team remaining at 7-0 and have won 3 games by at least 16 points, including a 35-13 rout of the Pittsburgh Steelers this past Sunday. The Texans are close to being on the completely other end of the spectrum. They aren’t quite the worst team in the league by record (that distinction belongs to the 1-6 Detroit Lions), but a 1-5-1 mark is the worst in the AFC. Houston has been more competitive than a touchdown only once in 5 losses and it even fell to the Las Vegas Raiders by an embarrassing 38-20 margin. This particular matchup is especially bad for the Texans, as their run defense is hopeless and the Eagles are 6th in the NFL in rushing. Count on this one being a rout.
Miles Sanders to score a touchdown (-110)
The combination of Sanders’ success this season and a terrible Texans defense means you have to like his chance of putting up big numbers on Thursday. Sanders has scored a touchdown in 2 straight games and his stretch of 3 games in the last 4 with at least 1 TD includes a 2-touchdown performance in Week 4 against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Houston is dead last in the NFL in rushing defense and has surrendered 10 scores on the ground compared to only 5 (2nd-fewest in the league) through the air.
Miles Sanders to record 100+ rushing yards (+205)
Sanders should be in store for a huge night all around. The Texans are giving up 186.0 rushing yards per contest, which is 30 per game more than the 2nd-worst run defense (Chicago Bears). Sanders has reached the 100-yard mark just once in 2022, but that was a 134-yard effort at Jacksonville’s expense and he has exceeded 70 yards 4 times – including games with 80 yards and 96 yards. The former Penn State standout has been consistent, and with the Texans on the other side of the ball, he should be ready to erupt as he did against the Jags. Moreover, if the Eagles win by as much as I expect them to then they should be keeping the ball on the ground a whole lot – especially in the 2nd half.
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