Andrew Wilsher
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Week 6 of the 2021 NFL season sees the Super Bowl champions in action on Thursday Night Football, as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers head to Philadelphia to take on the Eagles. Both teams enter this game with some momentum, as the Bucs pulverized the Dolphins 45-17 last week to move to 4-1, while the Eagles caused an upset to beat the Panthers.
You can always expect a wild atmosphere in Philly, and to add to the craziness we’ve come up with a same game parlay for the matchup that pays out at +782 odds!
Philadelphia Eagles +7 (-120)
Under 52.5 points (-108)
Jalen Hurts under 45.5 rushing yards (-114)
Parlay odds: +782
The benefit of same game parlays is that you can combine plays that on paper appear slightly contradictory to boost the odds, when there isn’t actually too much crossover. That’s what we’re going for here. The Eagles +7 along with the under show some correlation, while taking Hurts under on rushing yards arguably goes against the Eagles play, when I don’t think the two conflict all that much. In fact, the Hurts prop actually has some correlation with the under. Let’s break it all down.
Philadelphia Eagles +7 (-120)
I wouldn’t call myself a believer in the Eagles this season, but I am a believer in their raucous fans at Lincoln Financial Field in a primetime game. We saw a couple of weeks ago what impact a crowd can have on this Buccaneers team, as the Patriots fans at Tom Brady’s homecoming clearly had an effect on Tampa’s effectiveness and almost saw New England come up with the win. I don’t expect Philly to go as close as the Patriots came, but I do expect the Eagles to keep this within a touchdown.
Despite being 4-1, the Buccaneers have shown lapses in their opening five games. Along with the Patriots game, they also relied on late field-goal drama to edge the Cowboys, and their victory over the Falcons wasn’t nearly as easy as the score suggests. Now Tampa has to go up against an Eagles defense that has allowed just 6.6 passing yards per attempt this season (fourth-fewest in the league), while they themselves have allowed the third-most passing touchdowns. We’ve already seen how the Philadelphia offense can hurt teams this season, and Jalen Hurts has shown great chemistry with DeVonta Smith. Kick your SGP off with the Eagles to make this a competitive game.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles
Under 52.5 points (-108)
This line looks a few points too high to me, and taking the under compliments the Eagles spread pick nicely, as I believe Philly will need to keep the scoring low if they are going to stay in this game. As already mentioned, the booming Eagles crowd should be able to disrupt the Bucs offense, especially given how solid they’ve been against the pass. As for the Tampa defense, they still boast the most ferocious run defense in the NFL, allowing just 2.9 yards per carry and one TD on the ground all season. That should negate Hurts’ threat as a runner and cause Philadelphia to stall somewhat on offense.
Jalen Hurts under 45.5 rushing yards (-114)
This last leg relates to what I just highlighted about the Buccaneers defense. It is almost impossible to run on them at the moment, and only one player ran for more than 45 yards against them this season. Admittedly, Hurts has the x-factor in that he is a quarterback, but I expect Tampa to have him well scouted and to do all they can to shut him down. The Oklahoma product has only topped this line once in his last three games (by just 1.5 yards) and given the Buccaneers have allowed the most passing yards in the NFL this season, the Eagles offense could focus more getting yards through the air than on the ground.
Check out PropBetGuy’s best player prop bet for TNF between the Buccaneers and Eagles!
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