Andrew Wilsher
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Week 5 of the 2021 NFL season gets underway with a huge NFC West matchup on Thursday Night Football between the Los Angeles Rams and the Seattle Seahawks. The Rams suffered their first defeat of the season last week as they were crushed by unbeaten Arizona, while Seattle got things back on track with a victory over the 49ers. Both teams will be looking to keep pace with the 4-0 Cardinals, and the Rams and Seahawks will know that a win is vital in the race to win the division.
There’s no doubt that this should be an exciting primetime matchup, but one way to make it even more thrilling is by betting a same game parlay, and we have 4 legs that pay out at +1528 odds!
Los Angeles Rams -2.5 (-105)
Matthew Stafford over 305.5 passing yards (-114)
Darrell Henderson to score a touchdown (-115)
Chris Carson over 53.5 rushing yards (-108)
Parlay odds: +1528
The benefit of same game parlays is that you can combine plays that on paper appear slightly contradictory to boost the odds, when there isn’t actually too much crossover. That’s what we’re going for here. The Rams -2.5, Stafford over on passing yards and a Henderson touchdown all correlate, but by adding in Carson to have a decent rushing day the odds get a major boost. In reality, Carson getting 54 rushing yards or more could easily cash without having too much of an impact on the other legs. Let’s break it all down.
Los Angeles Rams -2.5 (-105)
The Rams just got humiliated 37-20 by the Cardinals, and they should be fired-up to bounce back in this one. Their offense has been red-hot this season with quarterback Matthew Stafford already throwing 11 touchdown passes (second-most in the league), and his rapport with wideout Cooper Kupp has been phenomenal. Kupp has the most receiving TDs in the NFL (5) and the third-most receiving yards. They now get to go up against a Seahawks team that has allowed at least 322 passing yards in each of their last 3 games, while also giving up the most rushing yards in the NFL. They should give Seattle all it can handle.
The Seahawks offense has been equally excellent with Russell Wilson remaining as hot as ever, averaging the most passing yards per attempt and boasting 9 touchdowns with 0 interceptions. However, much like last season Seattle is far too reliant on the offense and considering the talent the Rams have on defense I expect the Seahawks to find it much harder to score than the Rams. That should make the difference in this game, and L.A. win this one by at least a field goal.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks
Matthew Stafford over 305.5 passing yards (-114)
As mentioned, Stafford has hit the ground running since being traded to the Rams in the offseason and that strong start should continue here. The Seahawks have continued to struggle against the pass and given up a number of huge plays recently, notably a huge touchdown to Deebo Samuel against the 49ers last week. I expect a similar thing to happen here, and that should go a long way to running up Stafford’s passing yards. The ex-Lion has topped this line in 2 of his 4 games so far, but the rate at which Seattle gives up big passing plays I expect Stafford to have a big day.
Darrell Henderson to score a touchdown (-115)
The Seahawks have allowed the most rushing yards in the NFL, and I like them to give up a TD to LA’s lead rusher, Darrell Henderson. The Memphis product has found the endzone in 2 of his 3 games so far this season, which decent yardage games to go with them. He will no doubt be getting the majority of the carries and holds value also as a receiving threat, having hauled in 8 receptions in his last two games. For all the rushing yards the ‘Hawks have allowed, they have actually halted players from running it in on 3 occasions this season. But I feel that there is value with Henderson here with the Rams expected to have a number of goal-line opportunities.
Check out PropBetGuy’s two best player prop bets for TNF between the Rams and Seahawks!
Chris Carson over 53.5 rushing yards (-108)
The last leg of this same game parlay is the contradictory odds booster, but is one I really like. Carson has blown hot and cold so far this season, but I expect him to have a few decent runs with the Rams defense overcompensating for the threat of Wilson. The Rams have allowed the sixth-most yards per carry so far this season and are tied third for the most rushing TDs allowed (6). It is clearly an area of weakness for them right now and I believe it will be one that Seattle head coach Pete Carroll looks to exploit. Chase Edmonds just put 120 yards on this defense while James Conner added another 50, and I believe Carson has the ability to fly over this number.
Make sure you read The Burning Question, where three of our NFL experts give their views on whether Justin Fields should be named QB1 for the Bears
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