Caleb Wilfinger
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After a long and eventful offseason, the 2024 NFL campaign will be here before we know it. The marathon battle for the Lombardi Trophy begins on September 5 with Thursday Night Football featuring the Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs. Could that be a potential AFC Championship Game preview? It’s quite possible.
With most of the offseason moves in the rearview mirror, it’s time to dig into a couple of futures bets for Super Bowl 59. There is plenty of depth and talent across the league this season, which makes taking a favorite and a relative longshot an attractive option in the futures market. Let’s take a look at the Super Bowl NFL odds and NFL picks to make before Week 1.
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Super Bowl 59 winner odds
Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook and available at time of publishing.
- Kansas City Chiefs +600
- San Francisco 49ers +600
- Baltimore Ravens +950
- Detroit Lions +1200
- Cincinnati Bengals +1400
- Philadelphia Eagles +1500
- Buffalo Bills +1600
- Houston Texans +1600
- Dallas Cowboys +1600
- Green Bay Packers +2000
- New York Jets +2000
- Miami Dolphins +2400
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Super Bowl 59 best bet: Cincinnati Bengals (+1400)
I came into last season with a pretty negative outlook on the Bengals given the general strength of the AFC North and a very difficult schedule. As it turns out, that skepticism was warranted, as Cincinnati looked like a team that wasn’t quite on the level of the Ravens or Chiefs, even before Joe Burrow ultimately suffered a wrist injury and missed the rest of the season as a result. However, I’m going in the complete opposite direction this time around, as the path to a championship might be smoother than its ever been for Burrow and company this season. With multiple years of postseason experience under their belt and a bad taste in their mouths following a disappointing 2023 campaign, the Bengals should play with something to prove this fall.
One massive leg-up that the Bengals have compared to many of their AFC counterparts is one of the friendliest schedules in the league, a product of their last place finish in the AFC North a season ago. As a result, the Bengals have the 5th-easiest schedule in the NFL this season based on win total projections. That’s a colossal break for a Cincinnati team that returns the bulk of its talented and experienced offense, plus a defense that added Geno Stone and Vonn Bell to bolster the secondary. The Bengals are projected to be favored in at least 12 of their 17 games this season, and they should be able to establish an early lead over fellow challengers for the top spot in the AFC North thanks to an easy schedule to open the campaign. If the AFC title is to run through Cincinnati — as opposed to the likes of Kansas City or Baltimore — then this number will certainly be much shorter by the time January rolls around. For that reason, I’ll gladly take a shot with the Bengals here.
Get the latest NFL MVP odds and find out our expert’s longshot prediction at +5000!
Super Bowl 59 longshot bet: Green Bay Packers (+2000)
There are a number of different ways to look at betting a Super Bowl longshot, but I believe the Packers are a great option at the current price. This was a team that outperformed expectations last season in the first year of the Jordan Love experience at quarterback. Now in year 2, I expect another leap forward from Love, who had an exceptional second half of the season culminating in a fantastic performance in Dallas to knock off the #2 seed Cowboys in the Wild Card round. Given that head coach Matt LaFleur’s track record with quarterbacks has been excellent at each of his NFL stops, I see no reason to expect anything less than a strong season from Love, potentially one that could put him on the fringes of the MVP race.
Due to its plethora of young talent at the skill positions, this Green Bay offense has tremendous upside and unlike the Bengals, the Packers are fortunate enough to play in the far inferior AFC. While the NFC North saw the improvement of the Bears in the offseason, the Packers’ schedule is still quite manageable, with their only challenging road games coming against the Lions and Bears. Many of Green Bay’s toughest games come at Lambeau Field and the Packers only have one instance of back-to-back road games this season (and even then, the second game comes 10 days after the first). It all sets up very nicely for Green Bay to steal the division title from the Detroit Lions and host at least one playoff game come January. Ultimately, it all starts and ends with the quarterback position. If Love plays like he did over the second half of last season, a deep playoff run is on the table in Green Bay.
Now read our NFL DPOY prediction and best bet for the upcoming season
