Caleb Wilfinger
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The 2023 NFL season will be here before we know it. The marathon battle for the Lombardi Trophy begins on September 7 with Thursday Night Football featuring the Lions and Chiefs. Could that be a potential Super Bowl preview? It’s quite possible.
With most of the offseason moves in the rearview mirror, it’s time to discuss a couple of futures bets for Super Bowl 58. There is plenty of depth across the league, which makes taking a favorite and a longshot an attractive option in the futures market. Let’s take a look at the Super Bowl NFL odds and NFL picks to make before Week 1.
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Super Bowl 58 winner odds
Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing
Kansas City Chiefs (+600)
Philadelphia Eagles (+800)
Buffalo Bills (+1000)
Cincinnati Bengals (+1000)
San Francisco 49ers (+1000)
Dallas Cowboys (+1400)
New York Jets (+1600)
Baltimore Ravens (+2000)
Los Angeles Chargers (+2200)
Detroit Lions (+2200)
Miami Dolphins (+2500)
Jacksonville Jaguars (+2800)
Super Bowl 58 best bet: Philadelphia Eagles (+800)
This isn’t an exciting pick, but the Eagles are among the favorites for a reason. Philadelphia has been gradually getting better in each of the last few seasons, with their recent Super Bowl run marking a new high in Jalen Hurts’ young career. And if the Eagles ended up winning that instant classic against Kansas City in the Super Bowl last February, they likely would have been favored to take home the title once again this season. With another year of postseason experience under their belt and a bad taste in their mouths following that demoralizing Super Bowl exit, the Eagles should play with a serious chip on their shoulder in 2023.
One massive leg-up that the Eagles have is the general weakness of the NFC. Not only does Philadelphia return the bulk of its offense that was so productive a season ago, the Eagles are clearly head-and-shoulders better than most of the conference from a talent perspective. The Eagles are projected to be favored in at least 13 of their 17 games this season, and they should be able to establish an early lead over fellow challengers for the #1 seed thanks to an easy schedule to open the season. If the NFC title is to run through Philadelphia, it’s tough to imagine a team this good on both ends losing a playoff game on its home turf.
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Super Bowl 58 longshot bet: Jacksonville Jaguars (+2800)
There are a number of different ways to look at betting a Super Bowl longshot, but I believe the Jaguars are a great option at this price. This was a team that outperformed expectations last season in the first year of Doug Pederson’s tenure. Now in year 2, I expect another leap forward from the defending AFC South champs, who only got better over the offseason, thanks to their additions in the NFL Draft and bringing Calvin Ridley into the wide receiving room. And while the Jags do play in the far superior AFC, their schedule is extremely manageable, with their only difficult road games coming against the Bills and Steelers.
What makes the Jags worth a small play at this price is the weakness of the AFC South. Outside of Tennessee, the rest of the division is extremely weak and Jacksonville should be favored in each game against the Colts and Texans. Furthermore, if an already-older Titans team gets hit with the injury bug, the Jaguars should coast to a division title. The blueprint is there and it all starts with the quarterback position. If Trevor Lawrence can take another step forward, a deep playoff run is well on the cards in Jacksonville.
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Pickswise is the home of free expert NFL Picks and NFL Odds. Be sure to check out all of our season previews and NFL Futures Bets leading up to the 2023 NFL season.
