Ricky Dimon
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We have not enjoyed a ton of marquee primetime matchups in the early stages of this 2023 NFL season, but get your popcorn ready for Sunday Night Football in Week 7. It pits the Miami Dolphins against the Philadelphia Eagles in what is among the potential Super Bowl previews. Miami leads the AFC East at 5-1, while Philadelphia is atop the NFC East with the same record despite taking its first loss at the New York Jets last weekend.
As if this showdown needs any more spice, let’s go ahead and also try to make it profitable. Here is my Same Game Parlay for the festivities, which kick off at 8:20 pm ET on NBC. Also be sure to check out our full Dolphins vs Eagles predictions.
Eagles -2.5 (-118)
A.J. Brown to record 100+ receiving yards (+154)
Jaylen Waddle to score a touchdown (+140)
Parlay odds: +999
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is some of the plan here, as A.J. Brown racking up a bunch of receiving yards would obviously work well with a Philadelphia win and cover. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case with backing Jaylen Waddle to find the end zone. But even if he does, there is no reason why the Eagles can’t take care of business. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
Eagles -2.5 (-118)
The Eagles do not look as good as they did last season on their way to the NFC title and a heartbreaking loss in the Super Bowl, but they are still very good. Head coach Nick Sirianni’s squad will be motivated to make amends for last week’s loss and they have the benefit of returning home to play in front of a raucous night crowd. This obviously won’t be easy against another one of the best teams in the NFL, but the Dolphins have faced only one opponent with a decent pass rush (the Buffalo Bills) through 6 weeks and they got manhandled from start to finish. It’s safe to say that Philadelphia also boasts an outstanding pass rush with elite players left and right up front. It may not be a pleasant day at the office for Miami quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. It has been worth keeping an eye on the status of Philly OT Lane Johnson, but all of the Johnson news has been trending positively this week. Johnson is vital to the Eagles’ offense; if he plays, I like them a lot.
A.J. Brown to record 100+ receiving yards (+154)
A.J. Brown has been absolutely on fire over the past 4 weeks – basically ever since his bit of a gripe about not getting enough balls thrown his way. His last 4 performances are as follows: 9 catches for 131 yards; 9 catches for 175 yards and 2 touchdowns; 6 catches for 127 yards; 7 catches for 131 yards. Brown has received double-digit targets on 3 occasions and has been targeted at least 8 times in all but one contest. The Dolphins’ defense is solid but unspectacular. They are giving up 229.2 passing yards per game on 7.2 yards per attempt. Moreover, cornerback Xavien Howard is questionable due to a groin injury. I have to like Brown’s chances of making it 4 100-yard receiving games in a row.
Jaylen Waddle to score a touchdown (+140)
What should Tagovailoa do if he is under consistent pressure from Philadelphia? He should get the ball out quickly to Jaylen Waddle, of course. I’m expecting a big night for the Alabama product, which would be nothing new for him. Waddle has scored a touchdown in each of the past 2 games and during this stretch he has 12 receptions on 19 targets. He now faces an Eagles defense that has allowed 11 passing touchdowns – 4th-most in the NFL. Philly will also be without safety Reed Blankenship because of a rib issue. Well into plus-money, Waddle has great value to score at least 1 TD.
You can also read our SNF player prop picks and touchdown scorer best bets
