Ricky Dimon
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Sunday Night Football in Week 2 of the NFL season should be a fun one featuring the #1 pick from this year’s draft and the #2 pick from last year. That’s right; it’s Caleb Williams of the Chicago Bears vs CJ Stroud of the Houston Texans. Both teams are off to 1-0 starts, giving it all the more reason to be worthy of primetime billing.
Here is my Same Game Parlay for the festivities, which get underway at 8:20 pm ET on NBC. Also be sure to check out our full Bears vs Texans predictions.
Texans -6.5 (-110)
Stefon Diggs to score a touchdown (+175)
Caleb Williams to record 250+ passing yards (+200)
Parlay odds: +1235
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is some of the plan here, as Houston receiver Stefon Diggs finding the endzone would obviously work well with a big win by the Texans. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case with backing Willims to rack up a whole bunch of passing yards. But even if he does, there is no reason why the home team can’t take care of business.
That is the entire plan here, as Kansas City wide receiver Xavier Worthy delivering a big performance in his NFL debut would obviously work well with a big win by the Chiefs. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
Texans -6.5 (-110)
The Bears managed to beat the Tennessee Titans 24-17 in Week 1, but that does not give me any confidence in them – and it shouldn’t give you any, either. Although expectations are generally high for this revamped squad, nothing about its season-opening performance – aside from winning – should send them any higher. If anything, they should be lower. The Bears trailed a relatively bad Tennessee team 17-0 before getting a block-punt return and an interception return or touchdowns to fuel the comeback. Those are things that aren’t repeatable. It’s not like Chicago was sustaining offense drives. In fact, they finished with a grand total of 148 yards. It is true that the Texans also weren’t anything special, but their 29-27 road victory over the Indianapolis Colts was a lot more impressive than the product Chicago put on the field. This is a bona fide Super Bowl-contending team we are talking about. I think Houston wins big on Sunday night.
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Stefon Diggs to score a touchdown (+175)
You had to figure that Stroud would not want to waste any time gaining a rapport with is newest receiver. Well, it’s safe to say he didn’t. Stroud threw 2 touchdown passes in Week 1 and both went to Diggs. The former Buffalo Bills standout finished with a modest 33 yards, but no matter – he caught all 6 of his targets and both of his touchdown receptions came inside the 10-yard line. That bodes very well for Diggs’ red-zone prowess moving forward. Although Chicago’s pass defense excelled last weekend, Houston is a whole different beast compared to the Tennessee Titans. Don’t be surprised if Diggs finds the endzone yet again.
Caleb Williams to record 250+ passing yards (+200)
Williams throwing for pretty big chunk of yards actually doesn’t clash too much with Houston winning by at least a touchdown. After all, if Chicago is playing from behind it means it will have to take to the air. Regardless, Williams should be able to put up some sizable numbers. The Texans gave up a laughable 11.2 yards per pass attempt in Week 1, by far the worst mark in the entire NFL. Granted, the Colts’ passing sample size was small – but nonetheless it’s still an alarming number. Williams will likely be able to take advantage. That combined with what could be a high volume of passing situations should result in hefty yardage totals.
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