Ricky Dimon
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Sunday Night Football in Week 4 of the NFL season should be a fun one featuring an undefeated Buffalo Bills squad and a Baltimore Ravens team that is still in desperation mode despite winning last weekend. At 1-2, the Ravens need another victory in the worst – but it won’t be easy against such a formidable foe.
Here is my Same Game Parlay for the festivities, which get underway at 8:20 pm ET on NBC. Also be sure to check out our full Bills vs Ravens predictions.
Bills ML (+116)
Khalil Shakir to record 50+ receiving yards (-106)
Mark Andrews to record 50+ receiving yards (+280)
Parlay odds: +1058
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is some of the plan here, as Buffalo receiver Khalil Shakir racking up his fair share of yards would obviously work well with a win by the Bills. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case with backing Baltimore tight end Mark Andrews to have a pretty big night at the office. But even if he does, there is no reason why the visitors can’t take care of business.
Bills ML (+116)
Baltimore did well to beat the Dallas Cowboys in Week 3, but this team is still 1-2 and it almost blew a massive lead in its lone victory. Buffalo has been far more impressive, taking care of the Arizona Cardinals, Miami Dolphins and Jacksonville Jaguars. The Bills struggled with what has been an impressive Arizona outfit, but they completely destroyed both Miami and Jacksonville. Josh Allen hasn’t even been required to do a whole lot through the air, but just wait until he faces the worst passing defense in the league. Dating back to the start of the second half in their season opener, the Bills are outscoring opponents 104-31. I don’t care where this game is being played; Buffalo is the better team and probably should be the favorite. Give me the visitors on the money line.
Khalil Shakir to record 50+ receiving yards (-106)
Sooner or later, the Bills are going to start airing it out. They haven’t needed to throw the ball much at all partly because they have produced 2 blowouts. Even in a close game against Arizona they attempted only 23 passes. Count on that changing in this matchup. Baltimore is dead last in the NFL in passing defense, giving up 291.7 such yards per game. That means Allen, Shakir and the rest of the gang should be in line for a huge night through the air. Shakir is already Buffalo’s top receiver with 14 receptions (all 14 of his targets have been completed) for 168 yards and 2 touchdowns. His biggest game of the year so far is likely in store for the Boise State product.
Mark Andrews to record 50+ receiving yards (+280)
Andrews has done next to nothing through 3 weeks, but it is not yet time to press the panic button. This is a guy who is still in his prime at 29 years old and has produced season after season with big numbers at the tight-end position. Andrews did not make a single catch Dallas this past weekend, giving Jackson all the more reason to target his TE early and often. The Jackson-to-Andrews really has to get going if the Ravens want to take flight in 2024. The Bills have given up the 10th-most fantasy points to tight ends so far this year, so they can be vulnerable over the middle of the field. Don’t be surprised if Andrews finally comes up big for Baltimore in 2024.
