Ricky Dimon
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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will be trying to extend their winning streak to 4 games when they host the Buffalo Bills in Week 14. Buffalo is coming off a weather-plagued loss to New England. Let’s take a look at the best same game parlay option for Bills vs Bucs, and also be sure to check out our full game preview for picks on the side and total.
Bucs -6.5 alternate spread (+130)
Leonard Fournette to score a touchdown (-130)
Stefon Diggs to score a touchdown (+115)
Parlay odds: +763
Part of the value in same game parlays, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is some of the plan here, as Leonard Fournette scoring a touchdown would obviously work well with a big win for Tampa Bay. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case with backing Stefon Diggs to also find the endzone. But even if Diggs does, there is no reason why the Bucs can’t take care of business. Let’s break down each of the three legs one by one.
Bucs -6.5 alternate spread (+130)
Tampa Bay is coming off consecutive victories over the Giants, Colts and Falcons. Antonio Brown is suspended, but that shouldn’t matter for a number of reasons. Mike Evans and Chris Godwin still make for one of the best WR duos in the sport, Rob Gronkowski has stepped up with 17 catches for 252 yards and 2 touchdowns over the past 3 games. Sunday’s contest will probably feature a heavy dose of Fournette since the Bills are weaker against the run than they are against the pass. There is not much to break down when it comes down to the recent Monday Night Football game between Buffalo and New England. Passing games were rendered irrelevant because of weather conditions as the Bills fell 14-10. What does matter is that they are playing on a short week and still licking wounds from an alarming 3-4 record in their last 7 outings. It’s safe to say that Josh Allen is no longer an MVP candidate and his team has seemingly gone from Super Bowl contender to pretender.
Leonard Fournette to score a touchdown (-130)
Fournette has been great all season (665 rushing yards, 402 receiving yards, 9 total touchdowns), but he has been on fire of late. The LSU product has 144 rushing yards, 14 receptions on 16 targets for 79 receiving yards, and 5 total TDs in Tampa Bay’s last two victories over Indianapolis and Atlanta. Why would Fournette slow down now against the Bills? Their defense has to be beaten on the ground, as they boast by far the best passing defense in the NFL and have surrendered only 8 scores through the air. They are in the middle of the pack with 12 rushing TDs allowed.
Stefon Diggs to score a touchdown (+115)
The Bills’ offensive game-plan will be much different. Tampa Bay is No. 2 in the league against the run and has allowed just 8 such touchdowns. However, the Bucs are 20th against the pass and have given up the 8th-most passing TDs (21). Prior to Monday’s game that might as well not even be discussed or taken into account, Diggs had scored at least 1 TD in 3 straight contests (4 in total during that stretch) and had racked up 6 TDs in the span of 6 games. Getting him at plus money – especially in this matchup – is quite clearly a steal.
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