Ricky Dimon
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The Chicago Bears absolutely have to win on Sunday Night Football if they want to get back in the NFC North race. Chicago started the season 3-0 and 5-1 but it is currently saddled with a four-game losing streak. Head coach Matt Nagy’s team is two games behind the Green Bay Packers (7-3) heading into this rivalry matchup.
Primetime games are always attractive betting opportunities and this one is no exception. Let’s take a look at the best same-game parlay option for this Bears-Packers, and be sure to check out our full preview of the game for picks on the side and total.
Bears +7.5 alternate spread (+100)
Alternate total Under 40.5 (+150)
Jimmy Graham anytime touchdown scorer (+270)
Parlay odds: +1837
We are going with a three-prop parlay here instead of four, really because player props were not yet posted in the parlay option as of late Saturday. But they aren’t necessary. Even this three-legger pays out an enticing +1837. A Jimmy Graham touchdown is correlated with the Bears covering the spread (and a bumped-down spread, in fact), but at the same time it goes against an under play (especially a bumped-down under). But that drives up the value of the parlay. So let’s take a look at these three components and assess why they have a chance of hitting.
Bears +7.5 alternate spread (+100)
It is true that the Packers will probably win this game, but there is plenty of value on the Bears plus the points (in this case 7.5 points). Although Chicago is down to a backup quarterback, it is a backup with plenty of starting experience. No, Mitchell Trubisky is not anything special; but at the same time he knows what he is doing when it comes to running the Bears’ offense. It is worth noting that this team won its first two games of the 2020 campaign when Trubisky was in there the whole time. Moreover, the Packers have won just a single game against an opponent that is not currently under .500.
Alternate total Under 40.5 (+150)
A low-scoring game would help Chicago cover the spread and I think that will be the case on Sunday night. It’s going to be cold (close to freezing temperatures) and windy (up to 15 mph gusts). What else would you expect on a late November night in Wisconsin? Aside from the weather, Chicago’s defense is stellar regardless of the situation. The Bears are especially stout against the pass, limiting opposing quarterbacks to a 61.1 completition percentage (second-best in the NFL). Green Bay’s offense is not quite as on fire as it was earlier in the year and going up against Khalil Mack won’t make matters any better for Aaron Rodgers and company. Meanwhile, the Bears have scored more than 17 points only once in their last four outings.
Jimmy Graham anytime touchdown scorer (+270)
It remains to be seen if having Trubisky under center will be better or worse for Chicago. Either way, it should be just what the doctor ordered for Graham. Or at least it could be. In the first three contests of 2020 when Trubisky was the starter, the veteran tight end was targeted a total of 18 times. During a win over Atlanta he caught six passes on 10 targets for 60 yards and two touchdowns. Graham also found the endzone earlier this month against Tennessee while making six receptions for 55 yards.
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