Week 11 Same Game Parlay: Tennessee Titans vs. Baltimore Ravens (+1534)

Derrick Henry of the Tennessee Titans
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Ricky Dimon

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Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports -- just about any and all you can think of! -- and coaching tennis in Atlanta, GA. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me. For Ricky Dimon media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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It will be a crucial contest between a pair of 6-3 squads when the Baltimore Ravens entertain the Tennessee Titans on Sunday. Both teams could really use a win, and not just because they are in the thick of the AFC playoff race. The Ravens are 1-2 in their last three contests after falling at home to New England in Week 10. Tennessee has lost three of its last four games since starting the season 5-0. As a result, the Titans have plunged all the way down to No. 14 in our current power rankings.

Even without any extra incentive, this is without question a big game—one certainly worth watching. And you can make it even more intriguing with a same-game parlay. Let’s take a look at the best such option for this matchup, and be sure to check out our full preview of Tennessee vs Baltimore for picks on the side and total.

Titans +6.5 (-110)

Derrick Henry Over 87.5 rushing yards (-110)

J.K. Dobbins Under 34.5 rushing yards (-110)

Willie Snead to score a touchdown (+210)

Parlay odds: +1534

The benefit of same-game parlays, of course, is that all four components of it can be correlated if you so choose. That’s part the plan for this particularly play, as we feel good about the Titans getting 6.5 points against Baltimore. If they do cover, it stands to reason that Derrick Henry will be a least somewhat productive and on the other side of the ball the Ravens’ rushing attack is contained. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated can be effective in driving up the parlay payout. That’s why Willie Snead IV finding the endzone could be a lucrative addition, and it’s not like Tennessee can’t cover even is Snead does score.

Titans +6.5 (-110)

This is a rematch of last year’s divisional round, in which Tennessee rolled to a 28-12 road upset. The visitors are more than capable of scoring another win, and at the very least they should be competitive. The Ravens’ current woes are particularly alarming, Lamar Jackson and company managed only 17 points during last Sunday night’s home loss to the Patriots. The Titans are by no means in great form, but they won’t be afraid of this matchup and they should able to control the clock with a steady diet of Henry.

Derrick Henry Over 87.5 rushing yards (-110)

Henry has exceeded this number—and the century mark—five times this season. He has been held to fewer than 84 yards only three times. There is no reason why the former Heisman Trophy winner can’t have an average or even above average day against the Ravens. Baltimore’s defense is good but nothing special; its 4.5 yards per rush allowed rank in the bottom half of the NFL. As for the Titans’ mediocre defense, the team’s best chance of having a respectable performance is to run Henry all day long and keep Jackson off the field.

J.K. Dobbins Under 34.5 rushing yards (-110)

The Ravens are using a trio of guys in the backfield (Dobbins, Mark Ingram, and Gus Edwards). Over the past few games it is Edwards who has been the most effective, but none of them have enjoyed a ton of success. Dobbins’ carries have decreased from 15, to 12, to five over the past three contests. The former Ohio State standout, who has exceeded 34 yards just twice this year, simply isn’t trending in the right direction at the moment.

Willie Snead to score a touchdown (+210)

Tennessee’s passing defense is terrible (27th in the NFL) and it has given up 20 touchdowns through the air (tied for the fourth-most in the league). Baltimore receivers are going to have their opportunities, and Snead is definitely one who can take advantage. Over the past three games he is averaging 4.7 catches on six targets and he scored twice against New England last weekend.

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