Andrew Wilsher
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We’ve got one of the best Monday Night Football games of the season here as the 6-3 Los Angeles Rams head to the east coast to take on the 7-3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Both teams are in need of the win to keep pace with their divisional rivals.
The Rams earned a huge win over the Seahawks last week and know that victory here will see them go top of the NFC West, while a defeat for the Bucs could almost rule them out of the NFC South race. They would be a win behind New Orleans, having played a game more and lost both head-to-head matchups.
A same game parlay with FanDuel or PointsBet offers bettors the chance for a huge payout and enhances the excitement of this high-stakes matchup. You can check out our full preview of the game, which features picks on the side and total, as well as our best player props and daily fantasy advice.
Los Angeles Rams +4.5 (-114)
Tom Brady under 292.5 passing yards (-110)
Ronald Jones over 53.5 rushing yards (-145)
Darrell Henderson over 31.5 rushing yards (-110)
Parlay odds: +1476
Three of these picks are correlated as Los Angeles’ chances of keeping the game close could rely on Tom Brady having an off day while Darrell Henderson keeps the chains moving on the ground for the Rams offense. But by throwing in Ronald Jones to have a good running day himself, the odds get a nice boost.
Los Angeles Rams +4.5 (-114)
Based on what we’ve seen recently, you’ve got to take the Rams and the points here. Los Angeles is no slouch team, proven by their comfortable victory over Seattle last week, and the opportunity to go top of the division should be all the motivation Sean McVay’s team needs. Their defense has been superb this season as expected, and although Tampa Bay beat Carolina last week, they have had their struggles in recent weeks. In fact, just two of their seven wins have come against teams with winning records, and I think the Rams at the very least should keep this one within a field goal.
Tom Brady under 292.5 passing yards (-110)
This play relates to what I just mentioned regarding the Rams defense — their pass defense in particular. Last week they held Russell Wilson to just 248 yards while intercepting him twice, and Jalen Ramsey completely shut down the threat of DK Metcalf. Ramsey, along with Darious Williams, has been fantastic in the L.A. secondary and the pair have helped the Rams to give up just 6.4 passing yards per attempt this season, which is the best in the NFL. Further, Brady has topped this line in just four of his 10 games, and this will no doubt be his toughest test yet.
Ronald Jones over 53.5 rushing yards (-145)
This play links in nicely with what I’ve just been saying. The Rams have an excellent pass defense, so expect Bruce Arians to look to the offense’s run game. Ronald Jones had a huge day last week, posting 192 rushing yards and a touchdown, and I expect him to build on that performance here. It’s also worth noting that he considerably out-carried Leonard Fournette, and did a lot more with his opportunities as well. Although Jones has been a tad inconsistent, he has hit triple digits on the ground four times this year. This looks like a reasonable line for him to overcome.
RONALD JONES IS ALL ABOUT SAVING #GoBucs BETTORS 💰
— Pickswise (@Pickswise) November 15, 2020
Darrell Henderson over 31.5 rushing yards (-110)
This one does come with risks attached, but I think it’s worth siding with. The Rams just lost left tackle Andrew Whitworth to injury, and Tampa Bay’s vicious pass-rush is going to be all over Jared Goff. Therefore I think he’s going to be handing the ball off a fair bit, and Henderson will likely be the biggest beneficiary. Admittedly, the Bucs boast the joint-best run defense in the NFL, allowing just 3.3 yards per carry, but reaching 32 rushing yards is by no means a high mountain. Henderson has hit that total in four of his last five games. The fact he shares carries with Malcolm Brown and Cam Akers is a bit of a red flag, but Henderson should feature enough to give him a good chance of cashing this part of the parlay.
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