Andrew Ortenberg
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Well, the divisional round sure was a blast. And that’s a pretty big understatement. The NFL playoffs are approaching the home stretch, and it’s time to turn our attention to Championship Weekend. Why not celebrate the last games before the Super Bowl by going for a big payday? That’s right; we’re back with another mega parlay, NFL edition. We’ve done one for each week of the season. I have had a ton of success with these mega parlays, and even hit one at 74/1 in Week 13 last year.
I also hit it in Week 11 of this season at +1762, and then again for Week 13 at +1255. We came up one last-second field goal short of cashing the Thanksgiving one at 17/1, as well. Last week for the divisional round we hit both the Bengals and Rams money lines at plus-money, but our third and final leg failed us.
If you had bet 1 unit on every NFL mega parlay we’ve done this season, you’d be up over 11 units. Why not do it once more? We’re going big and bold again, so let’s not waste any more time. But before we dive in, don’t forget to check out our picks for the side and total on every NFL game.
Cincinnati Bengals ML (+285)
San Francisco 49ers -5.5 alternate spread (+280)
Parlay odds: +1363
Let’s break down each of the two legs one by one.
Cincinnati Bengals ML (+285) over Kansas City Chiefs
I’ve got to go with Cincy to start this mega parlay. They came through for us last week, and they can do it again. Getting nearly 3/1 with the Bengals is just too good to pass up. Granted the game was in Cincinnati, but the Bengals just beat this same Chiefs team as recently as Week 17. In that game the Chiefs’ defense had no answers for Joe Burrow or Ja’Marr Chase, and I don’t see how things will be much different this time around. Kansas City is coming off a thrilling win over the Bills, but lost in all the excitement of the overtime victory is the fact that their defense once again reverted to being a complete sieve.
It appears Steve Spagnuolo’s unit hasn’t fixed their woes after all, or they wouldn’t have let Gabriel Davis torch them for 201 yards and 4 touchdowns. Remember, in Week 17 they gave up 266 yards and 3 touchdowns to Chase. I sense a pattern. The Bengals’ defense is also more talented than most people think, and last week they held Derrick Henry to only 3.1 yards per carry while forcing Ryan Tannehill into 3 interceptions. I expect this one to go down to the wire, so +285 feels generous.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs
San Francisco 49ers -5.5 alternate spread (+280) over Los Angeles Rams
To wrap up this mega parlay and hopefully bring us home, we’ve got the 49ers in the NFC Championship Game. If San Francisco does win this game I think they’ll win it by 6+, which is why I’m taking this alternate spread. I lean toward Rams in this game overall, but there are very plausible scenarios in which the 49ers win with relative ease, so I’m taking the value with the +280. The 49ers won both regular-season meetings between these teams, and the Rams’ offensive line crumpled when they last played in Week 18.
Los Angeles was impressive last week, but I think that result had more to do with the Bucs just being overrated than anything else. Tampa Bay’s previous 4 games were against the Eagles, Panthers, Jets and Panthers again, which had masked a lot of their issues. San Francisco’s defense is peaking at the right time, and they just dominated Aaron Rodgers last week.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams
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