Our NFL expert’s best player prop bets for Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles in the NFC Championship Game: Jalen Hurts runs wild

Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) celebrates after throwing a touchdown pass against the Washington Commanders during the second quarter at FedExField.
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Josh Gayle

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NFL player props expert for Pickswise. I've been handicapping NBA, MLB and NFL player props for 4 years and have built up a following of more than 60,000 people on X. Now I'm here to help you bet better all season long!
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We’ve arrived at the NFL Conference Championships stage of the playoffs, and by the end of Sunday, we’ll have our Super Bowl 59 matchup set. While the AFC Championship will feature the latest chapter in the Bills vs Chiefs rivalry, there is a ton of intrigue around the NFC Championship Game. The Washington Commanders will take on NFC East rival the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field. Washington has been the story of the postseason so far, while Saquon Barkley has been the player of the postseason, so it will be interesting to see how this one plays out. This matchup gets started at 3:00 pm ET on FOX, and I’ve picked out my best Commanders vs Eagles player prop bet, where Jalen Hurts is the target. You can also find out the Pickswise team’s NFL picks on the side and total for both games this week.

Read our full Commanders vs Eagles best bets for the NFC Championship Game and Bills vs Chiefs predictions for the AFC Championship game

Jalen Hurts (PHI) over 29.5 rushing yards (-115)

Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.

Saquon Barkley is catching headlines this week for having the highest-ever rushing yards over/under line in the history of sports betting. Saquon will be the hot topic for everyone with a massive yards and attempts projection, and rightfully so. On paper, he should absolutely dominate here against Washington. I actually think he has a great game, but the bet with the higher value here is this one targeting Jalen Hurts.

Hurts will be the beneficiary in run-pass options with Saquon and I like his odds to break another long one like last week. He ran for 70 yards against the Rams, going over his rushing prop on 1 carry in the 1st quarter, and against Green Bay he ran for 36. Hurts is also 2-for-2 against Washington this season. In the last game of the regular season for Hurts, we saw him rush for 41 yards against the Commanders while only playing in 2 drives in the 1st quarter. If he can run for 41 yards in half a quarter against this team, I love his chances to run for 30 over the course of a full game.

Philadelphia is favored by 6 points here and Philly will likely want to keep the ball on the ground throughout. This feels like a no-brainer as my best Commanders vs Eagles player prop bet, and I absolutely expect line movement on by kickoff. Let’s roll!

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