Ricky Dimon
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The NFL’s 2024 London Series continues in Week 7 with the New England Patriots facing the Jacksonville Jaguars at Wembley Stadium. London is the Jaguars’ home away from home, and this marks the second of back-to-back games across the pond for head coach Doug Pederson’s squad. Both New England and Jacksonville head into this one at 1-5, so it could be the worst game of the entire week. Sorry, Brits!
Here is my Same Game Parlay for the festivities, which get underway at 9:30 am ET on NFL Network. Also be sure to check out our full Patriots vs Jaguars predictions.
Patriots +3.5 alternate spread (+124)
Under 41.5 (-105)
Drake Maye to record 225+ passing yards (+158)
Parlay odds: +1087
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is some of the plan here, as New England quarterback Drale Maye throwing for a good chunk of yards would obviously work well with a cover by the Patriots. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case with also backing the under. But even if the Maye prop hits, there is no reason why the under can’t cash. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
Patriots +3.5 alternate spread (+124)
These are without question 2 of the worst teams in football, tied for last place in the entire league at 1-5 along with the Carolina Panthers and Cleveland Browns. The bottom line is I’m not giving more than a field goal to any opponent when the Jaguars are involved – not even to the Patriots. Jacksonville stinks. Expectations were high after it compiled a 9-8 record in each of the previous 2 seasons, but head coach Doug Pederson’s squad has become a complete disaster. Pederson is on the hot seat – and for good reason – and QB Trevor Lawrence is also under fire. The former #1 overall pick is completing only 60.7 percent of his passes. As for New England, it has thankfully made the move under center from Jacoby Brissett to Maye. Despite a losing effort against a very good Houston Texans team last Sunday, Maye’s arrival paid instant dividends for the offense. Give me the Patriots to keep it close and perhaps even win outright.
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Under 41.5 (-105)
There is also no way I’m backing the over in a game featuring 2 moribund offenses – at least not when the total is anywhere in the 40s. New England’s offense looks better with Maye at the helm than it did with Brissett, but that’s not saying a lot. Jacksonville’s offense is 1-dimensional and prone to mistakes. The Jags can’t run the ball even with Travis Etienne Jr., and he is questionable because of a hamstring injury. Although the Patriots’ defense has not been as good as it was originally thought to be, it could play like a dominant unit on Sunday given the offense it is facing. London games for whatever reason have defensive slogs for the most part – usually between 2 bad teams – and this installment of across-the-pond football has the makings of being no different.
Drake Maye to record 225+ passing yards (+158)
Maye has played in 2 games so far, starting 1. He has completed 24 of 41 passes for 243 yards with 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Although the #3 overall pick in this year’s NFL Draft was intercepted twice by the Texans last weekend, he tossed 3 TDs and racked up 243 yards. Maye now goes up against a Jaguars outfit that is dead last in the NFL in passing defense at 276.7 yards per game allowed while surrendering 8.1 yards per pass attempt. The former North Carolina can easily reach the 225 mark.
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