Caleb Wilfinger
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The pleasure and fun are doubled again on Monday night, with another week consisting of not 1 but 2 games in this primetime slot, starting with the Miami Dolphins hosting the Tennessee Titans. Both of these teams have gone through a ton of turmoil to this point in the young season, making this game an interesting contest to handicap on both sides.
Here is my Same Game Parlay for the festivities, which get underway at 7:30 pm ET on ESPN. Also be sure to check out our full Titans vs Dolphins predictions.
Titans ML (+124)
Under 37.5 (-114)
De’Von Achane anytime touchdown scorer (-105)
Parlay odds: +569
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That isn’t the case here, as Miami running back De’Von Achane finding the end zone doesn’t necessarily correlate with a Titans win. With that said, we like that third leg as a way to add some value to our SGP.
Titans ML (+124)
These are a pair of teams that are just miserable at the moment, as Tennessee enters this one still looking for its first win of the season while the Dolphins are reeling from the loss of quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. It just so happens that Tagovailoa’s first replacement was Skylar Thompson, who then got hurt in an ugly loss to the Seahawks in Week 3.
Tyler Huntley has spent the past few seasons as a backup to Lamar Jackson with the Ravens, and he’ll now be thrust into the spotlight this week as the starter. While he’s relatively mobile and capable of running the ball somewhat effectively, Huntley certainly isn’t a dynamic athlete or true difference maker in the ground game, and he certainly can’t be trusted to push the ball downfield in the passing game. On the other side, Tennessee should have won each of its first 2 games, and I don’t think the team is as bad as the perception is. Yes, Will Levis has thrown a couple of games away with boneheaded turnovers, but he’ll be the better quarterback in this matchup and the Titans should also be able to run the ball with Tony Pollard against this beleaguered Miami defense. I’m confident we’ll finally see Tennessee get a win on the board in the 2024 season on Monday Night Football.
Under 37.5 (-114)
If you’re not a fan of either team, I’d probably advise you not to watch this game. Levis’ struggles have been well documented at this point, so we can expect Tennessee’s coaching staff to keep it on the ground as much as possible here. Despite having plenty of opportunities, the Titans have yet to top 17 points through 3 games, and it looks like the Dolphins are going to be starting a quarterback who is barely familiar with the playbook. Since losing its starting quarterback, Miami has produced just 13 total points over the last 2 weeks, and it’s been made abundantly clear that the Dolphins’ plethora of weapons are not QB-proof. All signs point to a defensive struggle in this one, so let’s back the under at the current number.
De’Von Achane anytime touchdown scorer (-105)
While we like the Titans to get the outright win on Monday, the Dolphins game script should lean on their ground game, and that’s good news for De’Von Achane, as he should be in line to get the primary workload out of the backfield in this game. Just last week, Achane touched the ball 14 times in a negative game script against the Seahawks, who jumped out to a double digit lead in the opening quarter. This week, as home favorites with a quarterback in Huntley under center that hasn’t touched the field since last January, I’d expect the Dolphins to lean on Achane early and often, especially if Miami gets down to the red zone.
