Ricky Dimon
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Week 7 of the 2023 NFL campaign wraps up with Monday Night Football between the San Francisco 49ers and Minnesota Vikings. Both teams made the playoffs last season, but they are going in opposite directions so far this year. The 49ers are 5-1 and looking every bit like a Super Bowl squad despite losing to the Browns in Week 6. Unfortunately for the Vikings, they are saddled with a 2-4 record and star receiver Justin Jefferson is on injured reserve.
On paper this contest doesn’t look to be overly competitive, but we can spice it up with some betting action. Here is my Same Game Parlay for the festivities, which kick off at 8:15 pm ET on ABC. Also be sure to check out our full 49ers vs Vikings predictions.
49ers -9.5 alternate spread (+132)
Brock Purdy over 1.5 touchdown passes (-114)
Kirk Cousins to record 250+ passing yards (+118)
Parlay odds: +690
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is some of the plan here, as Brock Purdy throwing multiple touchdown passes would obviously work well with a big win for San Francisco. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case with backing Kirk Cousins to rack up his fair share of passing yards. But even if he does, there is no reason why the 49ers can’t take care of business. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
49ers -9.5 alternate spread (+132)
It just keeps getting worse for Minnesota. Even though the Vikings held on for their second win of the season last week against lowly Chicago, they lost star defender Marcus Davenport to IR earlier this week. For a team that is low on solid pass rushers, that is a significant blow. With Jefferson already sidelined, Minny is now dealing with major issues on both sides of the ball. The 49ers are also banged up (Deebo Samuel is out, Christian McCaffrey is questionable), but they have enough weapons on offense to overcome that and beat an unspectacular opponent by double digits. This is not the Browns we are talking about. The Browns boast the best defense in the entire league; the Vikings most definitely do not. This projects to be a nice bounce-back spot for an inspired San Francisco team.
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Brock Purdy over 1.5 touchdown passes (-114)
Brock Purdy is proving to be just what the doctor ordered at quarterback for San Francisco. Mr Irrelevant of the 2022 NFL Draft may not be the flashiest player, but he simply gets the job done. So far this season the former Iowa State standout has thrown 10 touchdowns compared to only one interception. Purdy has tossed multiple scoring strikes in 3 of 6 games, including 4 against Dallas earlier this month. Minnesota is in the middle of the pack when it comes to passing defense, with 7.2 yards per attempt allowed and 7 touchdowns given up through the air (only 7 teams have surrendered more). This figures to be a productive night for Purdy.
Kirk Cousins to record 250+ passing yards (+118)
This really doesn’t conflict with the 49ers -9.5 play, because the Vikings will have to air it out if they find themselves trailing on the scoreboard. The Niners, of course, are accustomed to playing from ahead. It’s a big reason why they are a modest 10th in the NFL in passing defense even though they are limiting opponents to 5.5 yards per attempt. Kirk Cousins has thrown for at least 344 yards in 3 of 6 games this season and on another occasion he went for 284. The 35-year-old has been under this number in 2 wins and over it in 4 losses. I’m expecting that trend to continue.
You can also read our NFL player props and touchdown scorer picks for this game
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