Ricky Dimon
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We cashed a pair of Same Game Parlays on Sunday: Giants-Ravens at +880 and Seahawks-Cardinals at +643. Shoutout to Saquon Barkley for going down on his own at the 1-yard line instead of scoring a touchdown in the final seconds! Let’s keep the momentum going and try to hit another one on Monday, when the Los Angeles Chargers host the Denver Broncos. It may not be the most mouthwatering matchup, but a primetime game always inspires the betting public so let’s spice up the proceedings with some wagering advice.
Below is our SGP for Monday Night Football, and also be sure to check out our full Broncos vs Chargers picks on the side and total.
Over 45.5 (-110)
Austin Ekeler to score a touchdown (-145)
Courtland Sutton to score a touchdown (+170)
Parlay odds: +523
Part of the value in same game parlays, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is the entire plan here, as both Austin Ekeler and Courtland Sutton scoring touchdowns would obviously work well with an over bet. Let’s break down each of these legs one by one.
Over 45.5 (-110)
The Broncos essentially got a bye week to work on fixing their offense in advance of a crucial division rivalry game. Russell Wilson playing last Thursday night on a short week while nursing a shoulder issue was a recipe for the disaster we saw against the Colts. Now he has enjoyed almost 2 full weeks to get treatment and there you can anticipate seeing a better version of himself on Monday. Both of these teams play at a faster than league average pace when it comes to neutral situations; the Chargers, in fact, are #1 in that department. come into this game #1 in fastest pace. Now Justin Herbert and company face a Denver defense that will be depleted. Edge rusher Randy Gregory is out and his backup, Barron Browning, is questionable with a wrist injury sustained while filling in for Gregory last week. Linebacker Josey Jewel is also questionable. Look for a lot more offense that we have generally seen in Denver games.
Austin Ekeler to score a touchdown (-145)
I don’t love the value, but if this game is going to go over the total than you can almost be sure that Ekeler is going to find the endzone. After all, Keenan Allen is doubtful – which means Ekeler will continue to be an even bigger focal point of the offense than he otherwise would be with Allen on the field. The dual-threat running back has scored 5 touchdowns in the last 2 games (3 rushing, 2 receiving), pretty much single-handedly winning fantasy owners back-to-back matchups. Ekeler also went for 199 yards from scrimmage to go along with his 2 TDs against Cleveland last weekend. To the surprise of surely no one, Ekeler has scored in each of his last 4 games against the Broncos.
Courtland Sutton to score a touchdown (+230)
This should be a decent enough matchup for Sutton and the rest of Denver’s offense. Los Angeles is giving up the 11th-most fantasy points to WRs in 2022 and the 4th-most passing TDs per game (10 in 5). Moreover, OLB Joey Bosa is on injured reserve. Bosa’s absence means Wilson should have some time to throw the ball, which in turn maximizes Sutton’s chances to be productive. Sutton is already in fine form this season, with 29 catches for 417 yards and 1 touchdown. He has been targeted 46 times and has seen at least 10 targets in 3 of the last 4 contests. This is a great opportunity for the former SMU standout to find the endzone as part of an all-around productive night.
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