NFL MNF Baltimore Ravens vs New Orleans Saints Same Game Parlay (+896 odds): Saints stay alive in NFC

Week 8 was another eventful weekend of games across the NFL, and this week has been no different. To close out the Week 9 slate, we are getting back on the Same Game Parlay train, this time for a battle between the Baltimore Ravens and New Orleans Saints on Monday Night Football. With kickoff set for 8:15 pm ET on ESPN, it’s time to forecast the action.

Here is our SGP, but also be sure to keep an eye on our NFL picks for every game this season, especially since we’re 75-57-3 on sides!

New Orleans Saints ML (+110)

Under 47 (-110)

Lamar Jackson over 59.5 rushing yards (-114)

Parlay odds: +896

Part of the value in Same Game Parlays, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. However, it actually adds more value if you can predict the game script that both teams will want to play. Let’s break down each of these legs one by one.

New Orleans Saints ML (+110) over Baltimore Ravens

This is a massive opportunity for New Orleans against a Ravens team that will be without Mark Andrews, Rashod Bateman, J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards. Stopping the run should be New Orleans’ strength, as the Saints have been a top 5 run defense the last two seasons and sit #1 in EPA per rush this season. In fact, the Saints’ biggest issue has been turnovers, where they are last in turnover margin, 31st in EPA given up on offense due to turnovers and 32nd in defensive turnovers created.

The Saints should be able to continue to move the ball on a depleted Ravens defense in this one. And since Andy Dalton took over in Week 4, New Orleans ranks 3rd best in the NFL in offensive success rate. Having scored at least 24 points in each of his 5 starts, the Saints should have success on a Ravens defense that is 27th in EPA allowed. And let’s not ignore the tremendous noise that the Ravens will be dealing with at the Superdome in a primetime spot. For a Saints defense that can get after the quarterback, the raucous home crowd will be a tremendous advantage. Look for New Orleans to stay alive in the NFC playoff picture with a victory at home.

Be sure to check out our full Baltimore Ravens vs New Orleans Saints predictions

Under 47 (-110)

Unders have been hitting at a historic rate in the NFL in 2022. In fact, heading into this week, the under was hitting at a rate of over 60% in all games this season. Scoring is down across the league as defenses have reigned supreme this year, making it difficult for the average NFL offense to string together successful possessions. This recent trend becomes even more important in games with a home underdog, as a wager on the short underdog typically correlates with a lower-scoring game this season.

Given that we like the Saints to win outright on Monday, this pairs nicely with an under at the current number. I like the fact that we’re getting over the key number of 45 in a matchup where the Ravens are missing key weapons and the Saints’ defense is strong. On the other side, New Orleans’ offense has been successful at points this season, but QB Andy Dalton has been inconsistent after taking over as starter from Jameis Winston. If Dalton is under pressure on a consistent basis, it’s only inevitable that he’ll make mistakes. I’ll take the under on Monday night.

Don’t miss Prop Holliday’s MNF Ravens vs Saints best player props

Lamar Jackson over 59.5 rushing yards (-114)

Even in losing efforts this season, the one constant in the Ravens’ offense has been the rushing explosiveness of Lamar Jackson. Jackson continues to be a force on the ground this season, averaging nearly 70 rushing yards per game to this point. With the Ravens missing a number of key contributors on Monday, Jackson will undoubtedly be forced to take matters into his own hands. While the Saints’ run defense is solid, it’s hard to keep Jackson contained for long, especially in a game where he should tally at least 10 attempts. The Ravens quarterback has cleared this number in 5 games this season, while also registering 59 yards in another. I’m expecting a strong effort from Jackson, even in a loss on the road.

Don’t miss out on our best touchdown scorer bets for Ravens-Saints — we went 2-0 last MNF!

Top 3 NFL Week 9 betting offers

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