Andrew Wilsher
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Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the AFC Championship game. Just 4 teams remain, and come Sunday night we’ll know which 2 franchises will be contesting Super Bowl 58 in 2 weeks. Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs have reached this stage for the 6th time and are keeping their hopes of retaining the Vince Lombardi Trophy alive, but in their way stands the resilient Baltimore Ravens, who have been on an absolute tear of late and this week will welcome back star tight end Mark Andrews.
Which team will come out on top and book their ticket to Vegas? Let’s dive into our Chiefs vs Ravens Same Game Parlay for this showdown that gets started at 3:00 pm ET on Sunday.
Chiefs ML (+176)
Under 47.5 (-174)
Mark Andrews to score a touchdown (+260)
Same Game Parlay odds: +2014
Part of the value in Same Game Parlays is that you can add some contrarian legs to really drive up the odds. That’s the plan here, as backing Mark Andrews to find the end zone goes against taking a Chiefs win and the under. However, it’s highly unlikely that the Ravens get completely shut out even if the other 2 legs do cash, so it’s worth taking a little extra risk for a massive reward. Let’s break it all down.
Get our NFL best bets for this week’s championship games — our experts are 62-43 this season!
Kansas City Chiefs ML over Baltimore Ravens (+176)
The Chiefs will have all the confidence in the world right now after taking care of the Bills in Buffalo last week, and I’m all over Kansas City getting past Baltimore to make it back-to-back Super Bowl appearances. Mahomes is really finding his groove, getting big plays out of receivers that have typically struggled this season. In particular, we’ve seen a real uptick from Travis Kelce’s production. Kelce has had 12 receptions for 146 yards and 2 touchdowns so far in the playoffs, and I’m expecting him to give the Ravens plenty of problems.
Experience is another big thing to consider. As mentioned, playing in the AFC Championship game is nothing new for Mahomes. But for Lamar Jackson, this is uncharted territory. The signal-caller has proven to be solid so far in the playoffs, but there is every chance that the prospect of the Super Bowl could rattle him. Given how immaculate this Chiefs defense has been throughout the season, I expect them to give Jackson all he can handle.
Read our full Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens predictions
Under 47.5 (-174)
A lot of what I touched on above also highlights why taking the under is a good bet for this Chiefs vs Ravens Same Game Parlay, albeit at an alternate number. Kansas City allowed the Bills to score just 7 points in the second half last week, and in the game against the Dolphins, Miami was able to put up just 7 total points. This Chiefs defense has been incredibly stingy and should be well-prepared for the dual threat that Jackson brings.
As for the Ravens, their defense has been a major reason why they have come this far. Last week the talk was all about CJ Stroud and the Texans offense. Baltimore’s defense responded by giving up no touchdowns (Houston’s points came from a field goal and punt return). Prior to that, they had held potent offenses from the Dolphins, 49ers and Jaguars to 19 points or less. This one should be one heck of a football game, but don’t be surprised if points come at a premium.
Mark Andrews to score a touchdown (+260)
Now we move onto the leg that really bumps up the odds. Andrews is set to make his big return this week, having been a full participant in practice. All signs point to him being 100% and ready to go, and I think we’re getting a great price on him to find the end zone at +260 odds. For starters, Jackson has leaned heavily on his tight ends for production this season. Andrews had found the end zone 6 times in 10 games before getting injured. Since then, Isaiah Likely stepped up and filled the void, scoring 6 touchdowns in 8 games. While Baltimore’s run game will prove crucial this week, I’m expecting John Harbaugh to come up with some big plays that heavily feature both Andrews and Likely. Let’s take a shot on Andrews returning with a bang to round off our Chiefs vs Ravens Same Game Parlay.
Make sure you also check out our Lions vs 49ers best bets for the NFC Championship game
