Phil Agius
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The cherished Thanksgiving traditions of visiting family, enjoying a turkey dinner and the Detroit Lions losing on TV may not all happen this year. The Lions have lost on Thanksgiving in each of the last 6 seasons, being beaten by the Vikings, Bears (3 times), Texans and Bills in that run, but they are hot favorites to break that sequence against the Green Bay Packers this year at what should be an amped-up Ford Field.
I have put together a 4-leg Packers vs Lions Same Game Parlay to help us celebrate that would provide a payout at +912 odds with FanDuel Sportsbook at the time of publishing. You can check out the full game preview in our Week 12 NFL predictions, but now let’s take a look at my Packers vs Lions Same Game Parlay.
Lions -7.5 (-108)
David Montgomery over 68.5 rushing yards (-114)
Sam LaPorta over 45.5 receiving yards (-114)
Romeo Doubs over 37.5 receiving yards (-114)
Same Game Parlay odds: +912
Detroit Lions -7.5 over Green Bay Packers (-110)
The Lions are 8-2 this season and 4-1 at home and have the kind of remaining schedule that means they should be targeting a high seeding in the NFC playoffs. They’ve won 7 of their last 8 games, with the exception being a no-show against the Ravens, but the Packers don’t pose anything like the same level of threat. Green Bay has limped to a 4-6 record in its first full season without Aaron Rodgers, but has lost 4 straight road games since beating the Bears in Week 1.
The Packers are also much more banged up coming into this short-week game, with RB Aaron Jones and TE Luke Musgrave both set to miss this contest. The Lions aren’t just favored to win on Thanksgiving for the first time in 7 years, but they’re being asked to give up more than a converted touchdown on the spread. That looks fully justified on what could be a day to remember for a motivated Lions team.
Be sure to check out our full Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions predictions
David Montgomery over 68.5 rushing yards (-114)
RB David Montgomery has been the engine of this high-powered Lions offense this season, and while rookie Jahmyr Gibbs is finally getting the touches his talent warrants, that has not stopped Montgomery churning out big rushing yards totals.
The former Bear leads the team with 577 rushing yards despite playing only 7 games and his seasonal average of 82.4 would be more than enough to cash this leg. He has gone over this line in 5 of those 7 games and has topped 100 yards 3 times, with a season’s best coming in the first meeting against the Packers, when he had 121. The Packers rank 28th of 32 in rushing defense this season and could have a tough time holding Montgomery back.
Sam LaPorta over 45.5 receiving yards (-114)
I’m in full agreement with my colleague Prop Holliday here, as he made Sam LaPorta’s receiving yards over his favorite Packers vs Lions player prop pick. As he points out, the Packers gave up 108 receiving yards to the Chargers’ tight ends last week, and LaPorta will be motivated to impress after having a rare quiet game in the win over the Bears, with just 3 catches for 18 yards. The rookie averages 49.2 receiving yards per game this season, and caught 4 balls for 56 yards in the teams’ first meeting.
Romeo Doubs over 37.5 receiving yards (-114)
We can boost the odds of this SGP by including an over for a Packers player, and WR Romeo Doubs looks an ideal candidate. The Packers are set to be without both lead running back Aaron Jones and their own impressive rookie tight end Luke Musgrave for this game, which increases the importance of their wide receivers, and the game script could also lead to the Packers falling behind early and needing chunk plays to try to get back into it.
Doubs scored the winning touchdown for the Packers against the Chargers last week, a play that made up 24 of his 53 receiving yards in the game, and no GB player had more targets. With fellow receiver Jayden Reed added to the injury report with a chest issue, Doubs should have plenty of opportunities to reach this total.
Check out Prop Holliday’s Packers vs Lions TD scorer pick at +250 odds
