Andrew Ortenberg
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Well, Wild Card Weekend sure was a blast. The NFL playoffs are officially in full swing, and it’s time to turn our attention to the Divisional Round. Why not celebrate the second weekend of the postseason by going for a big payday? That’s right; we’re back with another mega parlay, NFL wild card edition. We’ve done one for each week of the season. I have had a ton of success with these mega parlays, and even hit one at 74/1 in Week 13 last year.
I also hit it in Week 11 of this season at +1762, and then again for Week 13 at +1255. We came up one last-second field goal short of cashing the Thanksgiving one at 17/1, as well. If you had bet 1 unit on every NFL mega parlay we’ve done this season, you’d be up over 12 units. Why not do it once more? We’re going big and bold again, so let’s not waste any more time. But before we dive in, don’t forget to check out our picks for the side and total on every NFL game.
Cincinnati Bengals ML (+160)
Los Angeles Rams ML (+125)
Bills vs Chiefs under 54 (-110)
Parlay odds: +1017
Let’s break down each of the three legs one by one.
Cincinnati Bengals ML (+160) over Tennessee Titans
Give me the Bengals in the first game of the Divisional Round to start off this mega parlay. I think this is a 50/50 game at worst. The Titans being the top seed in the AFC is an absolute joke, and Tennessee isn’t an intimidating road environment at all. Even if it was, Joe Burrow has been cool as ice recently and I’m not worried about his composure. Cincy’s offense is peaking at the right time, and I don’t see how the Titans’ underwhelming cornerback group is going to be able to slow down the Bengals’ elite receiving trio.
Everyone is talking about the Titans getting Derrick Henry back, but who knows what he’ll look like after so much time off. And Ryan Tannehill had already clearly declined from last season well before Henry got hurt. Remember when he couldn’t crack 300 yards on 49 attempts and took seven sacks in a loss to the Jets?
Be sure to check out our full game preview for Cincinnati Bengals vs Tennessee Titans
Los Angeles Rams ML (+125) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers
I’m going with another money line ‘dog for the next leg of this parlay in the Rams. Color me a Bucs skeptic. Tampa closed the regular season by playing the Panthers, Jets and Panthers again in their final three games, which masked a lot of their issues. And they very nearly lost to the Jets! Then they got the Eagles in the first round of the playoffs, who had no business being in the postseason in the first place. It’s been a while since they’ve faced a tough defense, and the last time they did they got shut out by the Saints.
Now that they finally have to play a real defense again, the loss of Chris Godwin is going to be a lot more noticeable. Jalen Ramsey should neutralize Mike Evans, and Tom Brady won’t be able to turn to Godwin or Antonio Brown. On the flip side, Matthew Stafford has been excellent against the blitz all season, and Bucs defensive coordinator Todd Bowles blitzes at one of the highest rates in the league.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Bills vs Chiefs under 54 (-110)
To wrap this mega parlay up and hopefully bring us home, I’m taking the under in the highly anticipated rematch between the Bills and Chiefs. There were 58 total points scored in the first meeting between these teams this season, but a lot has changed since then. For starters, two huge parts of Kansas City’s defense, Chris Jones and Charvarius Ward, were both out for that one but are back now. And Steve Spagnuolo’s unit has just gotten much better in general. When the Bills and Chiefs played in Week 5, Kansas City’s defense was playing at a historically poor level.
They gave up at least 29 points in each of their first five games. They’ve really turned things on in the second half though. In fact, they gave up 17 points or fewer in seven of their final 10. I’m also just not completely sold on the Chiefs’ offensive resurgence, as they haven’t really been tested by too many tough defenses. On the occasions that they have been, like when they played Denver in Week 18, they’ve looked pretty pedestrian.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs
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