New York Giants vs Seattle Seahawks predictions, odds, spreads & betting lines: Seahawks break Giants down

The Giants just can’t stop winning. Once again, they were underdogs against the Jaguars last week and they defied the market to pull off the SU win and move to 6-1. Now they are in a similar position this week as 3-point road dogs against the Seahawks. Similarly, Seattle is also defying expectations. The Seahawks were expected to be one of the worst teams in the NFL this season, but currently sit top of the NFC West with a 4-3 record. Which team will continue their season of unlikely wins? Our NFL expert has picks, predictions and best bets for this matchup, so let’s break it all down.

Be sure not to miss any of our NFL picks for Week 8 — we’re 63-45-1 on spreads this season (+26.3 units!)

NFL Week 8 New York Giants vs Seattle Seahawks prediction

The Giants have indeed been winning, but they haven’t been winning comfortably. They had to come from behind to edge the Ravens 2 weeks ago before a 4th-quarter comeback against the Jaguars saw them move to 6-1, and even in that game they had to hold Christian Kirk at the 1-yard line late in the game in order to secure the win. Geno Smith and the Seahawks have been defying expectation, and with rookie running back Kenneth Walker beginning to blow up it will be interesting to see which of these teams secures the victory, and whether it will be as close as the spread suggests.

New York Giants vs Seattle Seahawks spread, odds & betting lines

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.

Point Spread: Giants +3, Seahawks -3
Total Points Over/Under: 44.5 points
Money Line Odds: Giants +135, Seahawks -155

NFL Week 8 Promo Codes

Find all the latest Sportsbook Promo Codes and Bonuses for NFL Week 8, including sportsbooks live in your state.

Be sure to also check some of our other NFL Predictions articles for Week 8 below.

New York Giants vs Seattle Seahawks expert picks

We’ve got 2 standout NFL picks for this week’s clash between the Giants and Seahawks.

Giants vs Seahawks point spread pick: Seahawks -3 (-110)

This bet lost a little value once it moved onto the key number of 3 after reopening Seahawks -2.5 earlier this week with the sharp money betting Seattle early. I’ll admit it’s hard to keep fading the Giants, who are 5-0 straight up as underdogs this season, but it’s important to stay true to my process with betting numbers and not teams. Let’s do some basic line comparison here. Last week the Jags were 3-point favorites at home against the Giants and this week the Seahawks are priced the same. So that means the Jags and Seahawks would be a pick ’em on a neutral field, which to me feels like a stretch. Most oddsmakers I talked to this week would make Seattle a slight favorite in that situation, which means even at -3 there is still some value on the Seahawks this week.
As for the matchup, I think the Seahawks’ defense also presents some hidden value we might be overlooking. Public sentiment is still relatively low on their stop unit but the numbers say otherwise. Seattle has the 4th-highest EPA/play over the last 2 weeks, up from 31st in Weeks 1-5. DC Clint Hurtt deserves most of the credit. Hurtt is in his first year calling plays after serving as the DL coach under former DC Ken Norton Jr., who was fired in the offseason. Seattle’s secondary has been exceptionally strong, holding Justin Herbert to 5.7 YPA last week — his 2nd-lowest mark of the season. The Seahawks also completely shut down Kyler Murray, allowing just 9 points to the Cardinals — who dropped 42 on the Saints just 4 days later. That’s 2 very different game plans executed successfully against 2 very different styles of quarterback play with Herbert being a pocket passer and Murray posing a threat to run.
On the other side, I expect the dam to break at some point for the Giants — who are just 24th in EPA/play on defense and not ranked any higher than 23rd in any win rate category. They especially struggle against the run, which is great news for rookie Kenneth Walker. It’s also good news for Geno Smith, who looked slightly more human last week but is still leading the NFL in CPOE (completion percentage over expectation) and has the highest success rate of any QB not named Josh Allen or Patrick Mahomes.

Be sure to check out our full Giants vs Seahawks predictions

Giants vs Seahawks Over/Under totals pick: Under 45 (-110)

The injury report is looking grim for the Giants on offense. They will likely be without 2 starting offensive linemen, as RT Evan Neal (knee) and LG Ben Bredeson (knee) are both considered “week-to-week” by HC Brian Daboll. TE Daniel Bellinger is also out with an eye injury, which is significant because he is currently the 3rd-leading receiver on the Giants roster with 16 catches this season. WRs Kenny Golladay and Kadarius Toney also missed practice time this week and their status is highly questionable for Sunday. The cupboard is almost completely bare for QB Daniel Jones, who is having an admirably efficient season (9th EPA+CPOE) despite ranking just 34th out of 36 qualifiers in air yards. WR Wandale Robinson has looked better each week and RB Saquon Barkley continues to be the heart and soul of the offense, but eventually I expect the offensive production to drop off a cliff considering the talent — or lack thereof — Daboll and OC Mike Kafka have to work with.

Meanwhile, the Seahawks’ offense has become more reliant on the running game as rookie RB Kenneth Walker has emerged. That trend should continue again this week with WR DK Metcalf questionable. All of the Giants’ talent on defense is up front with Dexter Lawrence and Leonard Williams grading out exceptionally well and rookie Kayvon Thibodeaux improving each week. Eventually it’s fair to expect some regression from QB Geno Smith, but I also still expect the Seattle offense to have some success on the ground this week.

Lock in our NFL Best Bets — we’re 29-11 this season (+34.23 units!)

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Philadelphia Eagles expert predictions

Be sure to check out all of our expert betting insight, analysis and even more NFL Predictions and NFL Best Bets from the rest of the Week 8 action.

Pickswise is the home of free NFL Picks and NFL Odds. Check out the latest NFL Prop Bets and NFL Parlays as well as expert NFL Underdog Picks and NFL Computer Picks.

Pickswise
*
By signing up you agree to our terms and privacy policy