The Minnesota Vikings clinched the NFC North title last week the playoffs are exactly where the New York Giants want to find themselves, as well. New York still has a ways to go in its effort, but a big Week 15 win over the Washington Commanders provided a huge boost. The stakes are high for what figures to be a competitive contest this weekend.
Here are our predictions and best bets for Saturday’s Giants vs Vikings showdown.
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New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings spread, odds & betting lines
Point Spread: Vikings -4, Giants +4
Total Points Over/Under: 47.5 points
Money Line Odds: Vikings -205, Giants +175
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New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings expert picks
We have 2 NFL picks for this week’s clash between the Giants and Vikings. Let’s take a look.
Point spread pick: Giants +4 over Vikings (-110)
Seemingly every week the Vikings find themselves in a close game and manage to escape with a victory time and time again. In fact, they even do so when spotting opponents 33-point leads! At least that was the case last week, when Minnesota engineered the biggest comeback in NFL history — from 33-0 down to stun the Indianapolis Colts 39-36 in overtime. Amazingly, the Vikings are 8 games over .500 while their point differential is a grand total of +2. They basically never blow teams out, so giving 4 points — especially to a playoff contender — is a lot. Moreover, the metrics tell you that the Giants are at least on par with the Vikes if not even better. New York is 21st in weighted DVOA , while Minnesota comes in at 26th (according to Football Outsiders). Among the things that the Giants have done well in 2022 is taking care of the football, which is a recipe for being competitive (and a recipe for winning!). QB Daniel Jones is excellent in his career as a road underdog, too. He is 16-5 against the spread when catching points away from home. Our suggestion is to take the G-Men and the points against an overrated Vikings squad.
Be sure to check out our full New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings predictions
Giants vs Vikings over/under totals pick: Under 47.5 (-110)
In most cases this season the Giants covering the spread (or winning outright) pairs nicely with the game staying under the listed total. New York is a team that likes to grind down the clock and establish the run, which often leads to longer scoring drives when able to get the ball in opposing territory. The Giants will probably do that more than a few times on Saturday, but that may translate more into field goals than touchdowns. Minnesota’s defense gives up a lot of yards but typically stiffens up in the red zone when throwing the ball becomes more challenging for opponents. New York’s goal-line execution also hasn’t been great this year and has been prone to settling for field goals inside the 20. If the Giants are going to keep this one close, they will likely need to keep Minnesota’s explosive offense off the field for as long as possible. The under correlates will with a New York cover.
Be sure to check out all of our expert betting insight, analysis and even more NFL Predictions and Best Bets from the rest of the Week 16 action.
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