We’re back in London for another NFL International Series game at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium as the New York Giants battle the Green Bay Packers. Both teams enter this matchup holding 3-1 records and will be looking to push further into potential playoff contention with a victory here. Despite their equal records, the sportsbooks view this as a bit of a mismatch with a large spread available. But where is the value? Our NFL expert has picks, predictions and best bets for Giants vs Packers, so let’s break it all down.
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NFL Week 5 New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers prediction
The Giants are limping into this one with quarterback Daniel Jones banged up with an anjle injury, while backup QB Tyrod Taylor is ruled out with a concussion. This will be the Giants’ first big test of the season, and it could be too much for them to handle as Aaron Rodgers once again has this Packers offense humming. Green Bay is the last of the NFL franchises to finally play a game in London, and they look set to make it a winning visit.
New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers spread, odds & betting lines
Point Spread: Giants +8, Packers -8
Total Points Over/Under: 41.5 points
Money Line Odds: Giants +295, Packers -390
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New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers expert picks
Giants vs Packers against the spread pick: Packers -8 (-110) over Giants
The New York Giants will be looking to pull off a big upset of the Green Bay Packers here as they hop across the pond for a London showdown. New York was dealing with some uncertainty under center, but it looks like Daniel Jones is going to give it a go despite dealing with an ankle injury. Jones left the Week 4 win against the Bears after spraining his ankle but returned late in the game after Tyrod Taylor suffered a concussion. He appeared significantly hobbled and almost certainly won’t be 100 percent on Sunday. An immobile Jones could be a big issue since the Giants are already dealing with significant injuries in their receiving corps.
The injury could make the G-Men one dimensional, and if Jones aggravates his ankle then they are in big trouble since Taylor still hasn’t cleared the concussion protocol. The Packers have won 3 straight games and it appears their Week 1 debacle against the Vikings was just a classic early-season fluke. New York might be 3-1, but that record is pretty fraudulent. Those 3 wins came against the Titans, Panthers and Bears — 3 of the worst-looking teams in the league so far. And all 3 of them came in 1-possession games. The defense has played pretty well, but just look at the quarterbacks they have faced the last 3 weeks: Baker Mayfield, Cooper Rush and Justin Fields. Needless to say, it’s a big step up going against Aaron Rodgers. I’m laying the points with the Packers.
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Giants vs Packers Over/Under totals pick: Under 41.5 (-110)
The under makes some sense in this spot. New York’s offense had already been pretty anemic even with Jones at full strength, and now with him hobbled I’m not too optimistic. The Giants’ offensive line is once again a liability, which is going to bring even more trouble than usual with Jones unable to get outside the pocket and scramble.
The Packers play at one of the slowest paces in the entire league and they have been content to run the ball at a really high rate this year. Green Bay is going to control the flow of this game and I don’t expect the Giants to score much at all. Despite being 3-1, the G-Men have yet to top 21 points this year. Since a solid enough showing in Week 1, Jones has averaged 5.5 yards per pass attempt or fewer in 3 straight games. Just 2 weeks ago Green Bay completely dominated Tom Brady, holding the Bucs to a mere 12 points.
Giants vs Packers best player prop bet: AJ Dillon over 52.5 rushing yards
Dillon has consistently played over 50% of the snaps through 4 weeks. His lowest snap count came in Week 1 against the Vikings where Minnesota was in the driver’s seat the Packers had to play from behind. I do not expect that this Sunday in London against the Giants. This match is very similar to the Week 2 game against Bears. In that game, Dillon had a season high 18 touches. This Giants defense is giving up 5.12 YPC to opposing RB’s, 7th worst in the league. I’m on for 1U. Play up to 56.5.
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