Filip Tomic
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Just a night after landing a +817 same game parlay on the Bucks vs Hornets game, I managed to follow that up with a +900 winner on the Warriors vs Grizzlies last night! I’m feeling really good right now and with 9 more games coming up tonight, I’m going at it again with another same game parlay.
My focus is on the Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks game, tipping off at 7:30pm ET on ESPN. I will also have a same game parlay for the 2nd part of the ESPN doubleheader between the Brooklyn Nets and Chicago Bulls at 10pm ET.
Be sure to also check our predictions on the side and total for the rest of Wednesday’s games.
Let’s get into it!
Luka Doncic to record 12+ assists (+340)
Julius Randle over 9.5 rebounds (-110)
Evan Fournier over 2.5 made threes (-120)
Parlay odds: +1390
Luka Doncic to record 12+ assists (+340)
I was debating between backing Luka to score 30+ points or to go with the assists, but the way he has been playing lately I’m happy to take the latter, especially at these odds. So far in 4 games played in 2022 he has averaged 11.8 assists and had 2 games of 14 and 15 assists. Luka has been focused a lot more on playmaking rather than taking over games scoring-wise. His shot had not fallen in the 4 games so far, but the team is winning and it’s because of the way he has played. No Kristaps Porzingis once again will mean others will have to step up, and that means Luka will have to get everyone going. In his last game against the Knicks, he had 19 assists and in 3 of the last 4 meetings he has put up at least 10.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks
Julius Randle over 9.5 rebounds (-110)
The one thing we can count on with Randle, even if his shot isn’t falling, is his rebounding. Last night against the Spurs he had only 2 points on 1-for-7 shooting, but he got the job done cleaning the glass and finished with 12 of them. It was his 2nd straight game of 12 boards and he’s averaging 12 in 4 games played in 2022. In his last 7, he has gone double-digits in 5 of them, and against the Mavericks in head-to-head meetings he has had at least 10 in 2 of the last 3 games. Dallas isn’t really elite when it comes to rebounding — they rank 13th in the NBA allowing teams 51.8 rebounds per game — so I’m really liking his chances in this one.
Evan Fournier over 2.5 made threes (-120)
If we disregard the game against Indiana, Fournier might be New York’s best player in the month of January so far. He has already had a 41-point game at home against the Celtics in which he went 10-for-14 from three-point land. In 3 of 4 games he has scored at least 4 of them and his percentage has gone up from 32.7% in December to an impressive 52.9% in January. If we expand that to his last 10 games, he has scored 3 or more threes in 7 of them.
The Mavs rank only 21st in defending the perimeter in road games this season with teams averaging 35.8% makes against them. Fournier has had 2 games of 5 threes made against Dallas in the last 3 meetings and with the form he’s been on so far in 2022 I think there’s a really good chance of him making at least 3 tonight.
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