Germantas Kneita
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The Dallas Mavericks are currently in fine form with 8 wins in their last 10 games, but they face a difficult challenge tonight. They will be visiting the Golden State Warriors who currently have the most home wins together with the fewest losses. However, they are without their defensive leader in Draymond Green, which should make tonight’s game that much more intriguing.
You can find our full game previews for each NBA game on tonight’s slate here. But for now let’s take a look at our same game parlay for the Mavericks vs Warriors game.
Luka Doncic to score 30+ points (+176)
Maxi Kleber to score 10+ points (+330)
Parlay odds: +1046
Luka Doncic to score 30+ points (+176)
Over the last 3 games, Luka Doncic has been playing very aggressively on the offensive end, and that should continue tonight. In those 3 games, he has exceeded his season average for field goal attempts in each one. He has now also attempted at least 10 free throws in 4 straight games, an impressive feat considering he managed just 2 such games before January this season. It has led to him recording point totals of 41, 28 and 37 in his last 3 outings, and with a nationally televised game tonight, look for Doncic to put on yet another offensive showcase.
On the season the Warriors are the league leaders in defensive rating. However, that has dropped off over their last 8 games with Draymond Green out. Over that stretch their rating has dropped from 102.6 to 106, with the team ranking 6th in that category. Green is undoubtedly one of the leading defenders on their squad, and would have played a role in slowing down Doncic, especially taking away his post-up game. Doncic, however, was still able to drop 26 points in their last meeting against the Warriors, and with an easier matchup in the paint, I expect him to get a couple more buckets tonight.
Maxi Kleber to score 10+ points (+330)
Maxi Kleber had a torrid time in the first game against the Warriors, managing just 2 points on the night. However, there were signs of encouragement from the German. For one, he attempted 7 3-pointers on the night. Whilst he did not connect on any, he is a 36.1% shooter from deep on the season, and such a cold night from beyond the arc seems unlikely again. On the year, he has managed 9 or more points in 6 of the 8 games in which he has attempted 7 or more shots from downtown. If he keeps looking for his shot tonight, he should be there or thereabouts tonight in terms of points.
As mentioned earlier, without Green available for this game, Doncic should have an easier time in the post. He is likely to draw double-teams as a result, and with the vision that he has, he should be able to pick out open teammates. Considering the way Kleber shot in the first game, I expect the Warriors to challenge him to attack from deep once again. The Dallas forward is also capable of being an effective option in transition, as well as on the offensive glass. The latter in particular could help him pick up a few easy points against an undersized Warriors squad. If he can connect on a couple from downtown, double-digit points should be within reach for him.
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