Andrew Ortenberg
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A new week is underway, why not celebrate by going for a big payday? That’s right, we’re back with another NBA mega parlay, this time a four-teamer with a payout north of 15/1 where we’re counting on the Hawks to pull off a money line upset in one of the slate’s early games. We’ve been rolling recently, with a couple of big parlay wins this week, so why not follow it up with even more winners on Tuesday?
We’re going big and bold, so let’s not waste any more time. We’re diving in, but don’t forget to check out our picks for the side and total on every NBA game.
Hawks ML (+125)
Clippers -2 (-110)
Jazz -17.5 (-110)
Celtics ML (105)
Parlay odds: +1501
Let’s break down each of the four legs one by one.
Hawks ML (+125)
I’m not sure why the Raptors are favored here, considering they’re just 4-16 in their last 20 games. They’ve been one of the worst teams in the league over the past month, while the Hawks have started to turn things around. Atlanta is 15-5 in their last 20, so these teams couldn’t be headed in more opposite directions. The Hawks have already won both matchups against Toronto this season, and those were when the Raptors were playing better and the Hawks were faltering. What’s most embarrassing for Toronto is that they’ve actually played a fairly soft schedule recently, so they really don’t have too many excuses. Continue to fade them here.
Clippers -2 (-110)
Sure Kawhi Leonard won’t play here, but I don’t think that’s any reason not to back the Clippers here at a greatly reduced price. He didn’t play on Sunday, and Marcus Morris stepped up with 33 points in a win over Detroit. Paul George has been playing out of his mind lately, with three straight games where he’s had at least 32 points, so I think the Clips can weather the storm without Leonard. It’s also a revenge game for George against his old team, which can’t hurt. Indiana has played a ridiculously easy schedule the past few weeks, so I think this step up in competition will come as a bit of a shock to their system.
Jazz -17.5 (-110)
It might feel weird about laying a spread this large, but don’t be too hesitant. Utah has by far the best point differential in the league this season, so they’re exactly the kind of team you want to lay large numbers with. In fact, 31 of their 40 victories this season have come by double digits, so they really haven’t won too many close games. They’ve beaten teams much better than this Thunder one by much larger margins. Incredibly, each of Oklahoma City’s last 18 losses have come by at least nine points. As such, I think we’re headed for another blowout here. OKC has had some pathetic offensive performances recently, and with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander still sidelined there’s just no upside there.
Celtics ML (105)
To wrap things up and hopefully bring us home, we’re going with the Celtics in one of the slate’s nightcaps. The Trail Blazers have looked sluggish recently, and are 2-4 in their last six games. The two wins in that span? They came against the Pistons and Thunder. Their last three wins before that? Against Detroit again, Toronto, and Orlando. They haven’t beaten anybody good in a while, and are coming off a game where they failed to crack 100 points against the Heat. Damian Lillard is in a bit of a shooting slump, and I have to fade them if he’s cold. The Celtics have won three in a row, and just picked up a big road win over Denver.
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