Filip Tomic
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The Boston Celtics did their part and have advanced to the NBA Finals after sweeping the Pacers. Dallas has a chance to join them as early as tonight, as they host the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals. Tip-off is at 8:00 pm ET on TNT and I’ve prepared a Timberwolves vs Mavericks Same Game Parlay at +530 odds. You can also find out our NBA picks on the side and total of tonight’s T-Wolves vs Mavs matchup as well as every game of the NBA Finals. But for now, let’s get into my Timberwolves vs Mavericks Same Game Parlay picks.
Timberwolves ML (+104)
Naz Reid over 1.5 made threes (-150)
Anthony Edwards to score 30+ points (+150)
Timberwolves vs Mavericks Same Game Parlay odds: +530
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Minnesota Timberwolves ML over Dallas Mavericks (+104)
Down 3-0 and with their backs against the wall, the Minnesota Timberwolves are hoping to avoid the fate of the Indiana Pacers, who just got swept in the Eastern Conference Finals last night. Offensive execution in the 4th quarter has cost them a couple of games in this series, as their offensive rating drops from 114.3 in the series to just 95.5 over the final 12 minutes of the game. There is still hope though, if Minnesota makes the necessary adjustments. Dereck Lively II also got injured, which could open things up a bit on the interior. Minnesota is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games.
Believe it or not, Dallas has outscored Minnesota by just 13 points in this series so far, so despite a 3-0 lead, caution is still advised ahead of Game 4 for the Mavs. Doncic and Irving have been absolutely spectacular, but at some point their production is bound to go down a bit. I’m wondering how the rest of the Mavericks would respond if either of those two had a bad shooting night. Dallas has all the momentum in the world here, but I’ve not given up on Minnesota. It’s been a memorable season so far for them and I refuse to believe it will end in a sweep. I’ve got the Timberwolves winning tonight and forcing a Game 5 back in Minnesota.
Read our full Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Game 4 predictions
Naz Reid over 1.5 made threes (-150)
If there has been one player who hasn’t disappointed for Minnesota in this series, it’s Naz Reid. The Sixth Man of the Year is averaging 17.3 points per game, upping his scoring average almost 7 points compared to against the Nuggets in the Second Round. This matchup has been a favorable one for him even during the regular season, when he averaged 15.8 points per game in 4 meetings while playing just 25.5 minutes per game. His three-point shot in those 4 games was at 56%, and so far in this series it’s at 55% with him shooting 50% or better in 2 of the 3 games. I see no reason why that shouldn’t continue in Game 4. Minnesota needs an offensive lift badly as Anthony Edwards and Karl-Anthony Towns are struggling shooting the ball, averaging a combined 37 points per game.
Anthony Edwards to score 30+ points (+150)
It’s now or never for Ant Man to have a bounce-back performance. We saw glimpses of that in Game 3 where he finished with 26 points and was way more aggressive, attempting 24 shots in total. With the absence of Lively down low for Dallas, things should open up a bit for Edwards on the interior. He has struggled to penetrate this Mavericks defense, mostly relying on his three-point shot to get points. He’s shooting just 38% from the field through 3 games, way below the 51.2% and 50% he posted in the first 2 rounds against Phoenix and Denver.
With his team’s season on the line, there is no doubt in my mind that Edwards will put up as many shots as possible to keep his team from losing. I’m also looking at head coach Chris Finch to make the necessary adjustments, perhaps even benching one of his two big men and speeding things up. Regardless of what happens though, I expect Edwards to finally clear the over in this series on Tuesday night.
